TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7b6…3158

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
274
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5646.4%26 W · 30 L+8.0wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+675.2%+$87.1
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.1
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$90
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.01
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$70
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.3
Exact Score: France 2 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$85.99
Luis Suárez: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+64.4%+$86.26
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.83
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Brazil be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$78.99
Will Brazil reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$108
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$188
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT4136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$37
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$40.27
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will NVIDIA dip to $176 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$56.16
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,960 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+204.3%+$47
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,840 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$17.57
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $7,040 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+194.1%+$52.8
Will Meta (META) close above $700 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$25.1
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.4
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $310 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$10.8
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $320 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$39.5
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $300 end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20.6
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of January 5 above $480?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15.59
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 5 above $185?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+390.2%+$39.79
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 5 above $190?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of January 5 above $265?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 5 above $178?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+150%+$24
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 5 above $177?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.5
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 5 above $180?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+81.8%+$49.95
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of January 5 above $176?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
Will NVIDIA dip to $184 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+37%+$27
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit $160 before 2026??backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$32.5
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $340–355 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$30.04
Will Google (GOOGL) close at $355–370 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$25.5
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3953.8%21 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+49.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.01
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$60
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.39
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$112
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$42.2
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+45.6%+$48.51
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$99.32
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+250.9%+$142.94
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$89
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$254.57
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$314Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$314.27
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$66.47
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.6
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.49
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$82
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+41.9%+$34.57
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.8%+$9.95
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$207Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$96.91
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT3333.3%11 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid+25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Titansbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.99
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Jaguars vs. Saintsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$73.99
Dolphins vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Buccaneers vs. Jetsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdownbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+1,370.6%+$1,297.36
Will Ben Johnson win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$23.41
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+78.6%+$30.35
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.32
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+84.5%+$59.55
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the NFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.2
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+117.3%+$38.09
Will the Houston Texans win the AFC South?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.8
Will the Carolina Panthers win the NFC South?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$24.06
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+367.4%+$79.85
Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$29.62
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$15.58
Texans vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$18.12
LAR vs. Panthersbacked LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16.7
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$31.6
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+114%+$12.65
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$31
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+43.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$140
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+163.2%+$18.6
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+177.8%+$44.79
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.3%+$35.74
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.3%+$188.62
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+248.8%+$107
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Will Russia capture Rodynske by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+69.2%+$22.86
Will Russia capture Yampil' by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$32.9
Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+138.1%+$107.32
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$139.19
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$247.71
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$47.02
Will Russia capture Rodynske by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+82.7%+$20.68
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Will Russia capture Rodynske by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$10.53
All 18 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.17per pick36cpaid+32.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.88
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.2
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+185.7%+$23.4
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+122.2%+$16.5
Will Como 1907 vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+244.6%+$39.43
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+127.3%+$22.4
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+100%+$20
Will SS Lazio win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20.2
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+170.3%+$31.5
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+162.9%+$32.57
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+185.7%+$27.95
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$10.79
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Fulham FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+244.8%+$28.4
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+112.8%+$31.79
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$19.8
Will Tottenham win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-51.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+150.7%+$21.06
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Will Erling Haaland be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+138.1%+$58
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-46.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+86.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick31cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+131.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+49.1%+$70.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 March 16-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during September press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.