Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of January 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf39ba4938e83200be7dc55a8e16c1755151de7fb26823d320393f5fb7d947a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,107
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,183
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,107 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7001…2ababacked No | 1c | 20,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 8,954$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.69 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed No | 1c | 8,000$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…a8ffbacked No | 2c | 3,154$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2df…e80bbacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 16c | 1,262$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35c6…6d71backed No | 2c | 1,250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd085…ba5cbacked No | 2c | 1,242$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79a…d65cbacked No | 13c | 1,203$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1178…8f04backed No | 2c | 1,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked No | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0053…bf1dbacked No | 2c | 983.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +246.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 36c | 818.79$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.37 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56bf…bdbcbacked No | 3c | 720.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc2…03cebacked Yes | 69c | 290.05$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…0f33backed Yes | 68c | 285.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 57c | 261.43$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.18 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 36c | 225.06$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 59c | 204.09$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.61 | 353 | 34%120 W · 233 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d82…ea1fbacked No | 10c | 202.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…6d9cbacked Yes | 48c | 163$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…1ec4backed No | 10c | 125$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 24c | 122.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…7b62backed Yes | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3158backed No | 35c | 83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…d715backed No | 25c | 76.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 67c | 69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 54c | 65.76$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked No | 30c | 63.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed Yes | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 65c | 37.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2803…8d5abacked No | 54c | 36.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +41%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0695…4accbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 75c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0340…6907backed Yes | 77c | 26.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fb…57e5backed Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Yes | 75c | 21.94$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cc…da66backed Yes | 56c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +17.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0830…0f89backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…8959backed Yes | 60c | 17.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of January 2026?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $55 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.