Commodities · resolved market
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2fed79af6b7ed5f2940578ebf34bcc1528fc4a021c3ec1a9c888bc38dfdcbc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf21…be19backed No | 2c | 31,915$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,394.4 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +161.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 22c | 16,868$3,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,159.8 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c1…8a69backed No | 7c | 12,848$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,958.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 7cpaid | +674%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 293 | 4.1%12 W · 281 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed No | 0c | 5,352$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,327.26 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +289%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…9a89backed No | 2c | 3,906$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,844.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +2,006.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…f625backed No | 7c | 2,343$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 26cpaid | +255.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33da…2c3ebacked No | 4c | 2,011$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.93 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 6cpaid | +567.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7a98…e1e2backed No | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 10cpaid | +485.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 8c | 1,278$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.67 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf6…6cd2backed No | 6c | 1,165$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,564.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 801.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.37 | 232 | 4.3%10 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8936…d010backed No | 36c | 707.73$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.94 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd6…3d85backed Yes | 66c | 700$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d98…b9c9backed No | 12c | 678.72$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +270.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…2b63backed Yes | 53c | 479.7$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.61 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…7713backed Yes | 43c | 449.85$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…c6fcbacked No | 78c | 421.5$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.66 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x463a…db3cbacked No | 6c | 400$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb4…b997backed Yes | 43c | 377.55$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.45 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 13c | 376.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -15.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b77…b3f2backed Yes | 69c | 360.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 35c | 350.52$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.06 | 138 | 58%80 W · 58 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 48c | 326.74$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.42 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0340…6907backed Yes | 21c | 300$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…289ebacked No | 73c | 296.21$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +134.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 273.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe79a…d65cbacked No | 21c | 259.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…c193backed Yes | 78c | 257.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef43…7b62backed Yes | 25c | 255$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…78b7backed No | 64c | 251.47$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2264…4ee2backed Yes | 16c | 237.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +226.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 38c | 232.15$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…63b6backed No | 7c | 219.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.93per pick | 7cpaid | +1,328.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ef…2f42backed Yes | 13c | 214.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 33c | 203.08$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd085…ba5cbacked No | 21c | 192.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53b…4021backed No | 22c | 173.64$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.68 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +34.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 6c | 172.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.52 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 12c | 159.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.72 | 93 | 12.9%12 W · 81 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…7c57backed Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…b519backed Yes | 46c | 144.65$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…e080backed Yes | 28c | 140.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.8 | 97 | 45.4%44 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9628backed No | 30c | 125.65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.54 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 17c | 122.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…28bdbacked No | 27c | 118.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 27cpaid | +366.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…bd88backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 41c | 115.05$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked No | 32c | 103.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.47 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab3…07bcbacked No | 22c | 102.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…16edbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…7ee6backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25b9…3058backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 17cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0066…394fbacked No | 44c | 97.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed Yes | 73c | 90$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 35c | 85.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f19…bf1ebacked No | 23c | 85.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.03 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 21c | 83.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked No | 39c | 79.85$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +8.4wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +72%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 22c | 77.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…016fbacked No | 31c | 64.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 55c | 64.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d6…370dbacked Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 75c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,048 | 34.5%362 W · 686 L | -94.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…0265backed Yes | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed No | 40c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 345 | 34.5%119 W · 226 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 47.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a3…d715backed No | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…38a5backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7612…0850backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…6506backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked No | 53c | 37.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eae…2f66backed Yes | 54c | 37.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa778…1e87backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…0409backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6602…7047backed Yes | 68c | 30.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9da4…caa6backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…deddbacked Yes | 62c | 29.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d9…0dcebacked Yes | 52c | 27.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73d…f8a1backed Yes | 52c | 26.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…1fe7backed Yes | 63c | 22.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3564…9b29backed Yes | 58c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 57c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e10…bc5cbacked No | 56c | 19.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4716…a304backed No | 63c | 18.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…8a30backed No | 61c | 17.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc717…41c2backed No | 58c | 17.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4625…7900backed Yes | 59c | 17.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…d4b0backed Yes | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7af…6d48backed No | 62c | 16.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…1e60backed No | 64c | 15.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of January 2026?this page
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $55 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $65 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $70 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes won
- Will Silver (SI) settle over $95 on the final trading day of January 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.