TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e01…63be

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
536
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Weather, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 57 out of 100; worst Macro Indicators at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT15556.1%87 W · 68 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 155 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.6
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$852Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+134.8%+$1,148.29
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$123
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$220
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$112.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.00 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$672Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$327.7
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+211.8%+$1,018.9
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$419.8
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$491Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$491.35
Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,600-$5,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$260
Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,800-$6,200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.93
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,800 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$468.52
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.78
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,406.05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$48.6
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$513Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$257.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$62
Showing 25 of 155 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT12360.2%74 W · 49 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Stocks — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.5
Will Meta (META) close above $640 end of July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+50.6%+$33.6
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $330 end of April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$36.34
Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $260 end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Will Apple dip to $240 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.36
Will Tesla dip to $315 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,050 (HIGH) in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$28.8
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+55.1%+$236.2
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in March 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$36.65
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$601Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$600.9
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $170 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$201Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$99
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $160 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$60
Will the S&P 500 Index gain at least 2% on any day in Q1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.96
Will NVIDIA dip to $152 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$326Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29%+$94.4
Will NVIDIA dip to $164 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+85.2%+$36.8
Will Apple dip to $248 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$21.25
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,700 on the final trading day of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+66.7%+$80
Will Meta (META) close above $640 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30.8
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $405 end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT4961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Park Chan-dae win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Choo Mi-ae win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$9.49
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$172
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$14
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$13.01
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+109.8%+$78.5
Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$219.64
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$59
Will PPSO win the most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+78.6%+$44
Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+40.8%+$29
Starmer out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$28.5
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$417Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+43.9%+$183
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$16
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+83.8%+$22.8
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT4042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$320.79
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$311.31
Will the U.S. collect between $200b and $500b in revenue in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+39.9%+$28.5
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$4,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,253.01
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$354
Will Trump remove 10% blanket tariff in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$928.14
Will Scott Bessent throw a punch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$312Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$312.05
Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$112
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$552
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$97.48
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+51.5%+$68
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$28.82
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$676Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$675.8
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+47.9%+$32.4
US x China tariff agreement by November 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$68
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$30
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
US government shutdown in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
Will Trump remove majority of reciprocal tariffs before 90 day deadline? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$167
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with South Korea before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+113.7%+$133
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+181%+$217.6
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25%+$200
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.15
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.6% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.45
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+689.7%+$3,345.89
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$33.65
Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Oct–Dec–Jan)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.3% by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+97.3%+$70.03
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,545Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$2,544.91
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$94.72
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$624Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$624.35
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$16,368Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+43.4%+$7,102.8
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.6%+$30.89
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,046Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+72.1%+$754
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$3,393Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+713%+$24,194.58
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,468Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,468.17
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut down" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Fed rate hike in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$996Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+30.5%+$304
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$3,464Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,463.58
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$8,566Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+33.1%+$2,834.24
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$26.7
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$63
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$270
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$45.84
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$633Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$632.64
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$30.66
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 9-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$189.9
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$608Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+64.5%+$392
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 26-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+412.8%+$322
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+529%+$252.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+122.2%+$550
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 19-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+163.2%+$620
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78.2%+$570.27
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$361.41
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$149.7
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+110.5%+$52.5
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT3016.7%5 W · 25 L-6.5wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-65.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$630.35
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.9% and 5.2%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$118.91
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.81
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.61
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.92
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.5
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$591Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$591.14
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.46
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+118.4%+$293.88
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$24.75
Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥4.7%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+29.9%+$25.3
Will China GDP growth in Q4 2025 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$243.64
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will China's annual inflation increase by ≥0.7% in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+128.3%+$56.2
Will China's monthly inflation increase by ≥0.4% in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+43%+$10.55
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$62.63
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$39.71
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.12
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% or more in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.94
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.14
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1618.8%3 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$67.19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+37%+$12.96
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$164.39
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $400b on August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.22
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$142.37
Will anyone say "India" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Will anyone say "Trump" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will anyone say "China" during Apple launch event on September 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $350b on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$813Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+207.4%+$1,686.66
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $300b and $310b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $310b and $320b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.02
Will Elon Musk's net worth be less than $290b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.44
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $290b and $300b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.92
Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $340b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$219.84
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $330b and $340b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+2,123%+$1,272.07
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $320b and $330b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+36.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 20 - 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.46
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+67.4%+$8.05
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+85.2%+$9.2
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+112.8%+$15.9
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+108.8%+$26.06
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.8%+$106.6
Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.3
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Will Trump meet with Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.8
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$730
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.68
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+102%+$50.5
Will Trump visit Russia before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.68
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$581.68
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,644Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$1,279.09
All 13 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$65.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.