Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ff22d820361bad5005ee7c3e25962c7d68106b0674f1c10c34d0bee2fd284b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,511,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,032,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,511,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 376 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fdf…4452backed Yes | 2c | 342,350$6,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,239.7 | 101 | 5.9%6 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +121.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…f966backed Yes | 2c | 135,000$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes | 1c | 127,241$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…92debacked Yes | 1c | 90,391$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 2c | 51,441$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.81 | 133 | 3.8%5 W · 128 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x104a…5b05backed Yes | 13c | 40,904$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 4c | 39,850$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.49 | 102 | 2%2 W · 100 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…3a26backed Yes | 0c | 34,736$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.74 | 229 | 0%0 W · 229 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Yes | 0c | 31,674$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 8.8%13 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x840f…e13cbacked Yes | 1c | 29,604$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe507…1258backed Yes | 4c | 28,000$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.95 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16c…f14bbacked Yes | 7c | 27,998$1,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,880.57 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…dd8ebacked Yes | 1c | 27,498$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +129.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 3c | 27,484$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.84 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 0c | 24,793$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…c7b7backed Yes | 2c | 24,743$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.06 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c1…8a69backed Yes | 11c | 24,466$2,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,632.37 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…f756backed Yes | 9c | 23,488$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202.27 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +6.7wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +349.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6402…2fa1backed Yes | 7c | 23,203$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.06 | 64 | 3.1%2 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c6…043dbacked Yes | 3c | 22,366$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.02 | 113 | 16.8%19 W · 94 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef8…4607backed Yes | 1c | 22,356$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.01 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 2c | 22,287$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.91 | 90 | 22.2%20 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f0…d29dbacked Yes | 9c | 21,958$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…fdf9backed Yes | 3c | 21,675$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.68 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 21,029$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.86 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…021bbacked Yes | 10c | 20,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92bb…1afbbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 0%0 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f1…8c65backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -90.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 2c | 17,811$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.47 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83f0…6ff5backed Yes | 11c | 17,468$1,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,991.1 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a0…60c3backed Yes | 2c | 16,768$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.9 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2f…d043backed Yes | 8c | 16,300$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf466…cc9fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked Yes | 2c | 14,200$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.4 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Yes | 9c | 14,139$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.43 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dc…0da7backed Yes | 4c | 13,936$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.68 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8852…cdaebacked Yes | 1c | 13,568$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27e1…704bbacked Yes | 1c | 13,026$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5987…5f98backed Yes | 10c | 12,670$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 13cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 10c | 12,000$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x723f…e169backed Yes | 7c | 11,658$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253b…0ae7backed Yes | 4c | 11,399$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 68 | 16.2%11 W · 57 L | +8.3wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +273.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x12f8…bfa5backed Yes | 1c | 11,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…d901backed Yes | 0c | 10,950$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 107 | 0%0 W · 107 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25af…bcafbacked Yes | 4c | 10,399$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.17 | 399 | 8.5%34 W · 365 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked Yes | 4c | 10,126$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.03 | 68 | 13.2%9 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6d97backed Yes | 9c | 10,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a61…68fbbacked Yes | 10c | 9,982$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac9…ca59backed Yes | 10c | 9,901$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.16 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaecf…a030backed Yes | 1c | 9,806$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x398a…8a92backed Yes | 0c | 9,428$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x069f…66bcbacked Yes | 1c | 9,158$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…0317backed Yes | 3c | 8,599$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…5701backed Yes | 12c | 8,189$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 12cpaid | +452.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…ee4dbacked Yes | 1c | 7,990$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 3c | 7,625$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.39 | 268 | 3.4%9 W · 259 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…8727backed Yes | 10c | 7,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +280.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c1…0f60backed Yes | 1c | 7,391$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.57 | 36 | 2.8%1 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd27…b1dbbacked Yes | 3c | 7,367$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.83 | 137 | 5.8%8 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…8526backed Yes | 3c | 7,031$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.84 | 128 | 5.5%7 W · 121 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…ec13backed Yes | 1c | 6,951$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 6,376$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 149 | 0.7%1 W · 148 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb90…c9a0backed Yes | 1c | 6,250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…4c5cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,215$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ea…4524backed Yes | 5c | 6,196$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.16 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…55b5backed Yes | 8c | 6,075$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +424.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0c…4f2bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,910$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9451…c3f9backed Yes | 4c | 5,708$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes | 1c | 5,583$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…b235backed Yes | 5c | 5,479$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 8cpaid | +152%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507d…4ff0backed Yes | 8c | 5,286$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.17 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 9cpaid | +275.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca1…d685backed Yes | 1c | 4,838$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5d…41b9backed Yes | 5c | 4,789$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.13 | 106 | 7.5%8 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e2…4958backed Yes | 1c | 4,725$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,541$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.57 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 4,402$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 131 | 17.6%23 W · 108 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c2…89abbacked Yes | 3c | 4,400$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.4 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -63%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b9…47c4backed Yes | 8c | 4,312$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 4,275$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.53 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…faafbacked Yes | 1c | 4,167$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bf…345abacked Yes | 11c | 4,100$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5680…9305backed Yes | 12c | 4,093$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b67…9a9dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,057$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14a…df2abacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb956…a190backed Yes | 9c | 3,875$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +357.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 4c | 3,846$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…d9ecbacked Yes | 0c | 3,533$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f64…52d2backed Yes | 1c | 3,425$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…9a76backed Yes | 1c | 3,392$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01cd…7bacbacked Yes | 9c | 3,338$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.06 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +315.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…2d19backed Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 0c | 3,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…7ce6backed Yes | 4c | 3,200$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9573…f39dbacked Yes | 4c | 3,185$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 1c | 3,142$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…fe24backed Yes | 1c | 3,050$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…08b3backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.49per pick | 13cpaid | +552.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.