TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0640…4c5c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
47
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Cricket, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 50 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT1414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-75.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Namibia vs Nepalbacked Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.4
T20 World Cup: India vs Zimbabwebacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$12.01
T20 Series New Zealand vs Zimbabwe, Women: New Zealand vs Zimbabwebacked Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$32
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Oman (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$35.65
T20 World Cup: India vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$52.19
T20 World Cup: Canada vs New Zealand (Game 1)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$53.11
T20 World Cup: England vs Italy (Game 1)backed Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$17.05
T20 World Cup: Nepal vs West Indies (Game 1)backed Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11.2
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Zimbabwe (Game 1)backed Zimbabwe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+119.5%+$70.05
T20 World Cup: India vs Namibia (Game 1)backed Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$84.14
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Oman (Game 1)backed Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$21.03
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Ireland (Game 1)backed Ireland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$34.92
T20 World Cup: New Zealand vs UAE (Game 1)backed UAE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20.86
T20 World Cup: Canada vs South Africa (Game 1)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$51.23
All 14 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.73
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.81
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.66
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.46
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.8
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.72
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$121.47
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$87.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.85
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.97
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.11
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$242.99
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.4
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.58
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50.07
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.1
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$19.38
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.