Movies · resolved market

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x101c26a9ff336abf4dffeb109dc40b92d9f55882dd471e57ee875794a6561bf3

Rebuilt 11 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,467,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,467,809 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Movies
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x454c…bd22backed Yes	2c	274,501$5,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,094.92	25	8%2 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+208.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x469c…309bbacked Yes	3c	172,292$4,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,521.58	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes	2c	102,879$2,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,131.37	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes	2c	86,517$2,152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,151.79	24	8.3%2 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-63.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc600…e634backed Yes	2c	76,147$1,843 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,842.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xceec…4ad9backed Yes	2c	55,771$950 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$950	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	53,363$1,329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328.98	278	1.8%5 W · 273 L	-9.2wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-72.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda6b…a403backed Yes	1c	40,707$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.9	7	0%0 W · 7 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes	1c	39,718$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469.07	38	7.9%3 W · 35 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	10cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Yes	1c	36,282$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.74	65	20%13 W · 52 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	36,269$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.06	145	5.5%8 W · 137 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0640…4c5cbacked Yes	2c	34,827$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$816.21	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c7f…caf9backed Yes	3c	28,514$839 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$839.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	2c	26,937$515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.67	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	1c	26,768$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.34	98	3.1%3 W · 95 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-89%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1be…9662backed Yes	0c	25,194$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Yes	1c	25,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffe…538ebacked Yes	1c	22,864$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.64	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa6…2c95backed Yes	10c	19,785$1,958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,957.95	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43a6…f716backed Yes	1c	17,698$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.89	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9648…6825backed Yes	3c	17,541$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.94	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	14cpaid	-68.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	2c	17,514$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.43	201	3.5%7 W · 194 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	2c	17,095$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$339.81	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x314c…6cbebacked Yes	1c	16,914$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	31	0%0 W · 31 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe893…4e83backed Yes	1c	16,732$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.75	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ae5…f681backed Yes	1c	15,906$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.73	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb4…992abacked Yes	1c	15,454$172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$172.4	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	2c	13,924$341 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$341.42	204	2.9%6 W · 198 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b4…7493backed Yes	1c	13,368$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes	2c	11,881$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.84	123	1.6%2 W · 121 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	4cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3087…dff2backed Yes	4c	11,507$438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.54	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab6…cfecbacked Yes	0c	11,429$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01a2…b4a1backed Yes	0c	11,218$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x42ee…e6a0backed Yes	1c	11,138$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.47	4	0%0 W · 4 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes	3c	10,470$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.14	39	10.3%4 W · 35 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	15cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab72…b70dbacked Yes	11c	10,407$1,160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,160.23	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…f6cfbacked Yes	1c	10,220$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes	10c	10,188$1,057 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.5	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x650a…598fbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Yes	3c	10,000$310 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.98	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2d…f033backed Yes	10c	9,780$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-50.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes	2c	9,743$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.65	20	10%2 W · 18 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	14cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x786a…94a7backed Yes	3c	9,486$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.33	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc543…a151backed Yes	2c	9,344$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.5	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5aec…b4cebacked Yes	1c	9,295$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ef4…a034backed Yes	0c	9,158$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	3c	9,112$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.94	116	4.3%5 W · 111 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c02…d7dcbacked Yes	3c	9,028$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.47	10	10%1 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c19…d763backed Yes	2c	8,935$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9faa…3776backed Yes	1c	8,838$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.22	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes	4c	8,617$303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.87	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-89.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe35c…b0cabacked Yes	1c	8,274$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcad9…0bebbacked Yes	1c	8,271$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb8…47cabacked Yes	3c	8,069$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.78	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5081…a309backed Yes	3c	7,612$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.52	61	4.9%3 W · 58 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb326…f317backed Yes	1c	7,589$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes	3c	7,398$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.26	74	6.8%5 W · 69 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f7…6ce0backed Yes	3c	7,137$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7943…4365backed Yes	1c	7,122$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a38…2a21backed Yes	1c	6,925$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8a2…a522backed Yes	1c	6,877$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa30d…a8afbacked Yes	2c	6,761$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4113…042ebacked Yes	1c	6,709$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8e73…034dbacked Yes	3c	6,341$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.39	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-84.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes	1c	6,311$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8352…f2ccbacked Yes	2c	6,293$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd95…8c17backed Yes	1c	6,200$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.8	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	28cpaid	-80%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x766f…9e74backed Yes	6c	6,199$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.08	30	63.3%19 W · 11 L	+3.8wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9b7…ebe9backed Yes	1c	6,085$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664d…ad5ebacked Yes	1c	6,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7099…1c59backed Yes	2c	5,580$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.36	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	4cpaid	-71.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	7c	5,477$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.52	1,394	8%111 W · 1,283 L	-47.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-50%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e80…e7a0backed Yes	1c	5,198$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x497b…717ebacked Yes	1c	5,137$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee27…1c96backed Yes	18c	5,094$899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55fc…a2fdbacked Yes	1c	5,092$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	26cpaid	+43.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7df2…01afbacked Yes	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d9c…00f6backed Yes	1c	4,956$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.93	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.22per pick	35cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x36f9…aecebacked Yes	1c	4,955$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d11…855bbacked Yes	1c	4,946$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-84.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b0f…145cbacked Yes	0c	4,838$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.71	41	0%0 W · 41 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b7…c8a1backed Yes	3c	4,829$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.56	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf1e…bc49backed Yes	1c	4,769$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x338d…b468backed Yes	0c	4,602$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes	2c	4,429$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.56	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	+1.2wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5cc…3f0fbacked Yes	6c	4,209$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad40…a697backed Yes	2c	4,081$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6066…c86ebacked Yes	0c	4,035$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7334…81dabacked Yes	3c	4,030$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.16	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3307…6f4dbacked Yes	2c	4,014$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.62	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xab2b…3683backed Yes	1c	4,001$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2663…87d7backed Yes	1c	4,000$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	4c	3,930$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.72	90	1.1%1 W · 89 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	6cpaid	-51.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfc…0556backed Yes	1c	3,927$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb085…ed58backed Yes	3c	3,925$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ba9…0516backed Yes	1c	3,631$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.31	26	3.8%1 W · 25 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	7cpaid	-77.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd702…019cbacked Yes	3c	3,549$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes	1c	3,481$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.29	39	0%0 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x752f…cfd5backed Yes	2c	3,432$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.9	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event