TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x050f…6b27

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
198
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Asian League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT7723.4%18 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,848.3%+$15,155.67
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.35
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$939Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$939.16
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.43
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$292.45
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.2
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$449.77
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$307.16
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.43
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$496.25
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.34
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.31
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.67
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.04
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.8
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.03
Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.23
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.22
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.55
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.85
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$327.31
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.77
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT234.3%1 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.31
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$348.75
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.07
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.3
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.56
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.1
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.95
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.69
Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.7
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.08
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.18
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.34
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.12
Will the San Jose Sharks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.77
Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.01
Will the Washington Capitals win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.99
Will the New York Islanders win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.75
Will the Detroit Red Wings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.51
Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.59
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.95
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.95
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT205%1 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.28
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+900%+$2,167.98
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.86
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.88
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.5
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.96
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.28
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$388.71
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.39
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.5
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$91.93
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.87
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$97.5
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$152.5
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$293.1
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$70.31
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$94.64
Will PSV win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$53.33
Will Slavia Pragu win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20.83
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-75.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$1,195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+201.8%+$2,411.71
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$321.46
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,054Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$1,053.9
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$447.26
Set 1 Winner: Sabalenka vs Svitolinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+37%+$4.05
Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$176.67
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$55.01
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$156.77
Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$108.08
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$169.23
Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$33.33
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$327.96
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$883.32
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$26.33
Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$25.51
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$67.98
Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$85.42
All 18 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT150%0 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.22
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.15
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.18
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$188.87
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.29
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.66
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$117
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.45
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.67
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.58
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.82
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.76
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.75
All 15 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick8cpaid-89.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.77
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$288.53
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.62
Will Emma Stone win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.35
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.52
Will Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.9
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,506Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$530.54
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$302.87
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.03
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.82
Will Train Dreams win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will No Other Choice win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21.82
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-75.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.39
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$201.16
Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+149.4%+$401.82
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.31
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Will Sergio Fajardo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.19
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$255.88
Will the People Power Party (PPP) win the 2026 South Korean local elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.82
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-62.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-73.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-59.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+58.7%+$7.4
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$11.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-01-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+90.3%+$12.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.