TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,784,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,771,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,784,244 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1c16…1e6bbacked Yes2c405,163$6,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,302.19728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes1c119,468$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,695.9910419.2%20 W · 84 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c113,408$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.4911916.8%20 W · 99 L-0.3wins0.00per pick17cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c111,092$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.4117322%38 W · 135 L-0.4wins0.00per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c7b…f474backed Yes1c72,636$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.96817.6%12 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick18cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes1c66,020$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.19955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes2c55,903$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes1c46,868$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.395512.7%7 W · 48 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x883e…31dfbacked Yes2c44,214$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.73100%0 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed Yes1c41,375$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.9458.9%4 W · 41 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-47.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc474…d697backed Yes1c34,583$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.18333%1 W · 32 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e5c…3036backed Yes1c32,500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325214.8%1 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24de…1267backed Yes1c30,772$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes1c25,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22528543.9%125 W · 160 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8298…b978backed Yes1c24,583$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.58254%1 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-64.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcd5…aa9ebacked Yes2c24,518$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54f0…7a91backed Yes1c20,604$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.735625%14 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x593f…9f89backed Yes1c19,870$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.14303.3%1 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb014…b3fabacked Yes1c17,855$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.972313%3 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes1c17,561$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.476735.8%24 W · 43 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes1c17,015$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.43229.1%2 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes2c16,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3b54…f7bebacked Yes1c15,000$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+247.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes1c14,667$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.63156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick7cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ea…966dbacked Yes1c13,144$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4be…1300backed Yes1c11,929$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd18…9921backed Yes1c11,600$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.9100%0 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes1c11,489$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.65100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…74d6backed Yes2c11,113$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004022.5%9 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick21cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa284…9b55backed Yes1c11,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401513.3%2 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick5cpaid+234.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1590…9e72backed Yes2c10,132$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5716…203abacked Yes1c10,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110130%0 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Yes1c9,877$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.522536%9 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x215e…281bbacked Yes1c9,830$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes1c9,768$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.97220%0 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Yes1c9,023$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.39343%40 W · 53 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b51…da79backed Yes1c8,937$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.064126.8%11 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+46.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9a06…3800backed Yes1c8,710$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c8,512$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.147924.1%19 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c8,498$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.121877%13 W · 174 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-53.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes2c8,480$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.63313.2%1 W · 30 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick6cpaid-77%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c8,037$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110303.3%1 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-83.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbb…06f6backed Yes1c7,829$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.11911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick4cpaid+289.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c7,670$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0112921.7%28 W · 101 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x291c…90c0backed Yes1c7,633$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.97128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick2cpaid-35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Yes1c7,629$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.779230.4%28 W · 64 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x637f…554bbacked Yes2c7,511$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d8…79ccbacked Yes1c7,503$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4faf…740cbacked Yes1c7,000$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+363%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ada…4d2ebacked Yes1c7,000$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+346.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ca…9be3backed Yes1c6,801$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x050f…6b27backed Yes1c6,728$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.93205%1 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf17…d849backed Yes4c6,672$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc348…2a83backed Yes2c6,666$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.991010%1 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick20cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes2c6,658$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.872520%5 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-31.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0261…f13abacked Yes1c6,547$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9707…a0ffbacked Yes1c6,329$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe76a…35c3backed Yes1c6,306$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe257…d60fbacked Yes1c6,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60210%0 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f6…d902backed Yes2c6,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9090%0 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5b…ce8fbacked Yes1c5,782$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d57…3015backed Yes1c5,110$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.76220%0 W · 22 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f3d…da0ebacked Yes1c5,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick2cpaid+338.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes2c5,000$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4506…f5fdbacked Yes1c5,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+246%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf77f…040dbacked Yes1c4,788$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea3…a0b7backed Yes1c4,749$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb29b…9e76backed Yes2c4,700$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.21428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+64.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x766c…f6cabacked Yes1c4,659$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8469…f3aebacked Yes2c4,600$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-79.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a09…cdffbacked Yes2c4,556$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-61.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c2a…ab50backed Yes1c4,545$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick20cpaid-43.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe779…4df4backed Yes1c4,425$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd72…dad1backed Yes0c4,410$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf1…5205backed Yes1c4,408$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd093…7b4ebacked Yes1c4,394$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf87…3337backed Yes1c4,379$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdadf…b1edbacked Yes1c4,237$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7d…4ea5backed Yes1c4,222$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f0…e4cabacked Yes1c4,155$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.55156.7%1 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+229.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes1c4,132$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.323935.9%14 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-16.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf78…ffc5backed Yes1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40180%0 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac6a…1395backed Yes1c3,998$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91c4…3f9bbacked Yes1c3,966$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes2c3,932$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843941%16 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa9a…a377backed Yes1c3,900$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick15cpaid-18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeee9…f66fbacked Yes1c3,873$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.84175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27eb…b83dbacked Yes1c3,825$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…52cbbacked Yes1c3,710$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b6…2e7bbacked Yes1c3,691$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd91…378bbacked Yes1c3,647$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x038f…0834backed Yes1c3,556$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.23333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick5cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26b5…c1febacked Yes1c3,500$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+256.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2946…1e6cbacked Yes1c3,486$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3f0…61b1backed Yes1c3,480$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4278…e26dbacked Yes1c3,472$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a87…c5e0backed Yes1c3,292$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ef…468bbacked Yes2c3,200$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2825%2 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+79.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes0c3,186$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.742010%2 W · 18 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-38.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…348dbacked Yes2c3,150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 39 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.