TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x42ed…d13d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
163
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT3941%16 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$84
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+138.1%+$41.43
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$295
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will FC København win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+627.3%+$784.1
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+233.3%+$35
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+138.1%+$103.57
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+274.4%+$192.11
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.23
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2025-12-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+53.8%+$21.54
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$77.93
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.89
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+170.3%+$28.95
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+45.8%+$15.57
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST2330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+127.3%+$146.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+138.1%+$75.95
Will Chelsea win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Manchester City win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+69.5%+$24.32
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+56.3%+$22.28
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will Brentford win on 2025-10-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle win on 2025-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will Manchester United win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$12.59
Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$17
Will Jude Bellingham win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Kylian Mbappe win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$10
Will Harry Kane win the Ballon d’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2024-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 23 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-74.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will the Lions win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the Vikings win Super Bowl 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Broncos vs. Chargersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$17
Steelers vs. Eaglesbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Dolphins vs. Ramsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Raiders vs. Bengalsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$10
Texans vs. Jetsbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$80
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$60
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+25%+$37.5
Ravens vs. Brownsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$60
Packers vs. Jaguarsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+48.9%+$112.39
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2024, EDT-100%-$200
All 17 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+127.3%+$196
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Bologna FC 1909 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will SC Braga win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+112.8%+$338.3
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will SC Freiburg win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$35.29
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.58
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Ajax beat Qarabag?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+93.3%+$139.98
Will Roma beat Dynamo Kyiv?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
All 14 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+143.9%+$438.9
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+61.3%+$91.94
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$203.27
Will RB Leipzig win on 2025-12-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$720Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$720
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.49
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+27.6%+$18.48
Will Union Berlin win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$21.27
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+81.8%+$19.15
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$21.98
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 15, 2025, EST1030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-53.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$400
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+60.7%+$297.44
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$37.5
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$13.47
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10.96
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+58.7%+$23.49
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$27
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+45.9%+$12.39
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.42
Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$16
Swiss Indoors Basel: Casper Ruud vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Reilly Opelkabacked Opelka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Shapovalov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Erste Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$42.36
Guangzhou Open: Claire Liu vs Ella Seidelbacked Seidel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutetbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jenson Brooksby vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+74.7%+$28.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 8, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wyoming vs. Air Forcebacked Wyoming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Northwesternbacked Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$14.8
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Arizona vs. Houstonbacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+104.1%+$12.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+66.9%+$73.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.