NBA · resolved market
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b1a65e0c8588ce360a068966f0ad4efff23c223d9c38ae1214ea83776846598
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Mavericks, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcef8…1f8dbacked Timberwolves | 2c | 36,461$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.02 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Mavericks | 64c | 20,693$13,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,505.04 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 36c | 17,964$6,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,540.87 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed4…366abacked Mavericks | 38c | 17,816$6,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,092.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Mavericks | 42c | 15,911$6,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,241.98 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Timberwolves | 62c | 15,526$9,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,693.07 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…fb79backed Mavericks | 77c | 11,424$8,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,612.14 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Timberwolves | 63c | 6,921$4,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,360.4 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Mavericks | 48c | 5,976$2,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.51 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x892d…89a0backed Timberwolves | 55c | 4,275$2,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,351.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Timberwolves | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb20…a151backed Mavericks | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…a6cebacked Timberwolves | 64c | 1,559$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…0a27backed Mavericks | 40c | 1,556$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.87 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Mavericks | 36c | 1,445$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.79 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 1,407$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.66 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…1e02backed Mavericks | 38c | 1,300$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.8 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Timberwolves | 72c | 1,283$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.01 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Timberwolves | 30c | 1,273$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.84 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d67…05e7backed Mavericks | 36c | 1,250$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Timberwolves | 30c | 1,201$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.16 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Mavericks | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Mavericks | 35c | 1,200$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.95 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…79fbbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 1,168$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.21per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…681abacked Mavericks | 45c | 1,160$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.23 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…46d2backed Mavericks | 39c | 1,155$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.85 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Mavericks | 35c | 1,151$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.98 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Mavericks | 27c | 1,057$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.83 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Mavericks | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Mavericks | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Timberwolves | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Mavericks | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc275…43d7backed Timberwolves | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mavericks | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…ce1abacked Timberwolves | 62c | 999.74$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.84 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa17…b1ecbacked Mavericks | 40c | 986.04$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.62 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…e299backed Mavericks | 38c | 881.58$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc88…681abacked Timberwolves | 64c | 881.25$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…c212backed Timberwolves | 18c | 850$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.17 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7884…f94cbacked Mavericks | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Mavericks | 39c | 788.22$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35cb…b439backed Timberwolves | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Mavericks | 69c | 699.98$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.99 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x337b…0503backed Timberwolves | 63c | 681.4$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.28 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Timberwolves | 45c | 564.67$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Mavericks | 35c | 548.73$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.67 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Mavericks | 37c | 538.38$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.18 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x892a…89d8backed Mavericks | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34d6…8d72backed Timberwolves | 65c | 526.15$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed Mavericks | 36c | 499.94$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.96 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…f437backed Mavericks | 37c | 490.19$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20c9…db91backed Timberwolves | 65c | 490.18$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.62 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad5d…f0c2backed Mavericks | 38c | 471.89$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…cf81backed Timberwolves | 65c | 471.54$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8229…dfbfbacked Mavericks | 38c | 461.76$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c77…af46backed Mavericks | 79c | 460.15$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…3c5abacked Mavericks | 39c | 458.26$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.54 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Mavericks | 34c | 444.61$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.61 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Mavericks | 36c | 440$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.6 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 440$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.6 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Mavericks | 33c | 406.67$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.83 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…1bc7backed Mavericks | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff76…5163backed Mavericks | 31c | 389.24$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a6…ee95backed Mavericks | 46c | 370$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.71 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Timberwolves | 64c | 348.24$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.87 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1036…7defbacked Mavericks | 38c | 313.61$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…7cd3backed Timberwolves | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8119…2a7abacked Timberwolves | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…7a61backed Mavericks | 76c | 302.5$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a5f…89c6backed Mavericks | 38c | 302$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…5a8dbacked Timberwolves | 65c | 300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Timberwolves | 64c | 283.17$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.23 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Timberwolves | 8c | 279.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…bbfabacked Timberwolves | 63c | 275$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2026…bd92backed Mavericks | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…b751backed Timberwolves | 63c | 269.84$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6589…5117backed Mavericks | 38c | 268.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Mavericks | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Mavericks | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa28f…d25ebacked Timberwolves | 65c | 260.18$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.12 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 20cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…9c22backed Timberwolves | 63c | 250$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…d02cbacked Mavericks | 37c | 249.43$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 5c | 244.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed Timberwolves | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Timberwolves | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…3a25backed Mavericks | 66c | 233.09$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021c…b735backed Timberwolves | 74c | 227.22$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.79 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…9d47backed Timberwolves | 75c | 225.04$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.78 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…5c25backed Timberwolves | 65c | 222.58$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…89a1backed Timberwolves | 65c | 200.65$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeab…7afebacked Timberwolves | 28c | 200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Mavericks | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…1151backed Mavericks | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mavericks | 37c | 193.06$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…386ebacked Timberwolves | 63c | 185.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Mavericks | 38c | 174.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Timberwolves | 63c | 167.41$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 59c | 165$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…1fb2backed Timberwolves | 63c | 152.38$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Mavericks | 37c | 150$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.