TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x37c1…e0c9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
348
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Movies, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2025, EST8537.6%32 W · 53 L-10.0wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$125.73
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$31.2
Bulls vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Jazz vs. Pelicansbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST+36.3%+$7.26
Jazz vs. Pelicansbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+133.5%+$26.69
Rockets vs. Kingsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Nets vs. Clippersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Warriors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$58.62
Hornets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$29.96
Heat vs. Clippersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$25
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+156.4%+$62.56
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST-100%-$369.99
Grizzlies vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+108.3%+$156
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$300
Suns vs. Kingsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Pistons vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+31.2%+$218.52
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2024, EST-100%-$140
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST8250%41 W · 41 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$327Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$326.67
Total Over/Under 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$19.7
Will the Eagles score 25 or more points in Super Bowl LIX?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+112.8%+$34.45
Coin Toss: Heads or Tails?backed Heads · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Chiefsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$182
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST+38.9%+$39.66
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+35.1%+$13
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+57.3%+$229.14
Lions vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2024, EST-100%-$336
Eagles vs. Cowboysbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+31.6%+$24.29
Jets vs. Cardinalsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Steelers vs. Commandersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+127.3%+$170.81
Bills vs. Coltsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Vikings vs. Jaguarsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Patriots vs. Bearsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+244.8%+$122.41
Falcons vs. Saintsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$200
49ers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$29
Giants vs. Panthersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$150
Bengals vs. Ravensbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST+39.8%+$537.16
Colts vs. Vikingsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2024, EST-100%-$146.4
Bears vs. Cardinalsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$500
Texans vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2024, EDT+78.6%+$51.07
Giants vs. Steelersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST5858.6%34 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ohio State beat Notre Dame by 9 or more points?backed Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Ohio State and Notre Dame combine for 47 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Will BYU beat Kansas?backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$250
Will Georgia beat Tennessee by 10 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$250
Will LSU beat Florida by 4 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+88.7%+$177.36
Will Penn State beat Purdue by 28 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+64%+$128
CFB: South Carolina vs. Vanderbiltbacked Cocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+44.9%+$22.46
Will San Diego State beat New Mexico?backed SDSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$176.73
Will South Carolina beat Texas A&M by 3 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will South Carolina beat Texas A&M?backed Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Ohio State beat Penn State?backed Penn St · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will Hawaii beat Nevada?backed Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Will there be 45 or more combined points scored?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$28
Will Colorado beat Cincinnati by 7 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT-100%-$17
Will Texas A&M beat LSU?backed Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
Will Penn State beat Wisconsin?backed Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2024, EDT+52.7%+$13.18
Will Texas beat Georgia?backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2024, EDT-100%-$300
Will Texas A&M beat Mississippi State by 18 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$72.06
Will there be 53 or more combined points scored?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$53
Will there be 61 or more combined points scored?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT+100%+$25
Will Oregon beat Purdue by 29 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Boise St. beat Hawaii by 21 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+83.6%+$83.64
Will Ole Miss beat LSU?backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
Will Ohio St. beat Oregon?backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$57.56
Will Utah beat Arizona State by 6 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2024, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT-100%-$26.65
Will Arsenal win on 2024-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$120
Will Tottenham beat Brighton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will the match between Brighton and Tottenham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa beat Manchester United?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea beat Nottingham Forest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brentford beat Wolverhampton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$19.5
Will Manchester City beat Fulham?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+25%+$5
Will Bournemouth beat Leicester City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT-100%-$15
Will West Ham beat Ipswich Town?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Liverpool beat Crystal Palace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+54.5%+$10.9
Will Liverpool beat Wolves?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
Will Chelsea beat Brighton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2024, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
Will Aston Villa beat Wolverhampton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT+56.3%+$14.4
Will Wolverhampton beat Newcastle?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$14
Will Wolverhampton vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Aston Villa beat Everton?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$10.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Padres vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.92
Will the New York Yankees win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Dodgers win the World Series 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Dodgers win the World Series 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Will the Dodgers win the World Series 4-1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT+593.8%+$95.01
Will the Yankees win the World Series 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Yankees win the World Series 4-2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Mets vs. Dodgers - Game 4backed Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will the Mets or Dodgers win Game 3 of the NLCS?backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+88.7%+$66.51
Will the Dodgers and Padres combine for 8 or more runs?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
Dodgers vs. Padres Series Winnerbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Will there be at least 1 run scored in the first inning?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
ALDS: Royals vs. Yankees Game 4backed Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
NLDS: Padres vs. Dodgers Game 3backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$150
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2024, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid beat LOSC Lille?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bayern Munich beat Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Feyenoord beat Girona?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
Will Atalanta beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Celtic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Will Sporting CP beat PSV?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+53.8%+$13.46
Will Arsenal beat Paris Saint-Germain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$18.1
Will RB Salzburg beat Stade Brestois?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2024, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$13
Will Bologna beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Liverpool beat AC Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+100%+$10
Will Sporting CP beat LOSC Lille?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will Aston Villa beat Young Boys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Juventus beat PSV?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2025, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Du Plessis vs. Stricklandbacked Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$28.2
Jones vs. Miocicbacked Miocic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$200
Oliveira vs. Chandlerbacked Chandler · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$2,916Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$2,916.4
Nickal vs. Craigbacked Craig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Araujo vs. Silvabacked Araujo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+257.1%+$128.57
Ruffy vs. Llontopbacked Llontop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Royval vs. Tairabacked Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2024, EDT-100%-$70
Tavares vs. Parkbacked Park · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Njokuani vs. Goodenbacked Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+54.9%+$16.46
Rodriguez vs. Moronobacked Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$11.76
O’Malley vs. Dvalishvilibacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2024, EDT+117.4%+$54
Cannonier vs. Borralhobacked Borralho · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT+40.8%+$29
Hill vs. Riccibacked Ricci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$11.55
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2025, EST1127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2025, EST-100%-$40.1
Utah vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Sharks vs. Predatorsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Hurricanes vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Red Wings vs. Starsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$7.06
Rangers vs. Canadiensbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Oilers vs. Avalanchebacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST+92.7%+$23.17
Rangers vs. Avalanchebacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$64.12
Flyers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST+85.2%+$29.8
All 11 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Aces vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Minnesota Lynx win the 2024 WNBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
WNBA Finals: Liberty vs. Lynx Game 5backed Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
WNBA Finals: Lynx vs. Liberty Game 4backed Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
WNBA Finals: Lynx vs. Liberty Game 3backed Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
WNBA Finals: Liberty vs. Lynx Game 1backed Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2024, EDT-100%-$109.79
WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 3backed Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
WNBA: Lynx vs. Sun Game 3backed Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2024, EDT-100%-$25
WNBA: Lynx vs. Sun Series Game 1backed Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$502.08
WNBA: Liberty vs. Aces Game 1backed Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+54.8%+$13.7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2024, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick39cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Movies — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Smile 2' gross less than $21m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+35.8%+$14.32
Will 'Smile 2' gross $24-27m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$40
Will 'Smile 2' gross $21-24m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2024, EDT+156.4%+$62.56
Will the HBO documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$229.77
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2024, EDT+222.6%+$66.77
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross between $24m and $31m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$30
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross less than $24m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.09
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross between $31m and $38m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2024, EDT+33.6%+$30.2
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 8, 2024, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-52%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2024, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-75.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Sep 26, 2024, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2024, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-49.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+284.6%+$740
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sebastião Melo win the 2024 Porto Alegre mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 29, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid beat Real Madrid?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2024, EDT+47.1%+$4.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet less than 150 times?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2024, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$150
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Siversk before December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.