College Football · resolved market
Will South Carolina beat Texas A&M?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7cc9fcd73682cec99a19967f4d1bdfd486321bdc7c73167e66df387b4f526a44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cocksof Cocks, Aggies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,060
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,060 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Aggies | 60c | 6,766$4,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,041.13 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Cocks | 47c | 5,730$2,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,024.46 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…36b3backed Cocks | 38c | 4,387$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Cocks | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Aggies | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa501…9f0fbacked Aggies | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Aggies | 64c | 738$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…e948backed Aggies | 65c | 584.08$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Aggies | 50c | 566.54$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.2 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Aggies | 29c | 538.53$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Aggies | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Cocks | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…636abacked Aggies | 61c | 371.4$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…1d7abacked Aggies | 57c | 349.99$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.49 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Cocks | 39c | 338.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Aggies | 38c | 328$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.64 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fe…5f6fbacked Cocks | 79c | 233.51$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…3ce8backed Cocks | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbd…5d02backed Cocks | 63c | 224.54$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Aggies | 26c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Cocks | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Aggies | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Aggies | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Aggies | 54c | 148.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.6 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…871bbacked Aggies | 62c | 105.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…8669backed Cocks | 43c | 104.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa45…0eb0backed Aggies | 58c | 102.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660f…ec30backed Aggies | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f3…a05ebacked Aggies | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Aggies | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cocks | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c3…5350backed Cocks | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Cocks | 40c | 41.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 231 | 45.5%105 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…c994backed Aggies | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ec…01b6backed Aggies | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…3b7abacked Aggies | 52c | 24.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2d…47e4backed Aggies | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50de…2266backed Aggies | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will South Carolina beat Texas A&M?this page
- Will South Carolina and Texas A&M combine for 44 or more points?Over won
- Will South Carolina beat Texas A&M by 3 or more points?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.