TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xac97…a99e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
703
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst College Football at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST39242.6%167 W · 225 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 392 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$960Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$960
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,133Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+100%+$1,132.59
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$838Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$838.05
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$530
Rams vs. Seahawks: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$675Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$824.99
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$470
Patriots vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$764Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$763.92
Rams vs. Bears: O/U 48.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$254.98
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,205Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+66%+$795
Texans vs. Patriots: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+115.1%+$534.97
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+80.2%+$445
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+108.3%+$520
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+103%+$1,015
Texans vs. Steelers: O/U 38.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$259.2
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$740Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$740
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+56.2%+$719.99
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+100%+$1,000
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$730
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+216.7%+$2,394.93
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,339.99
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+112.8%+$227.85
Rams vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$255
Spread: Rams (-10.5)backed Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Spread: Cowboys (-4.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Showing 25 of 392 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT12247.5%58 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 122 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$690
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$750Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$750
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$836Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$836.32
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.54
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.72
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Spread: Clippers (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$104
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$33
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$52
Spread: Wizards (-3.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$53
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$398.98
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$64
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST+417.2%+$483.99
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$11.61
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST+197%+$199
Hornets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST+78.6%+$176
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2024, EST-100%-$128
Mavericks vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$629.98
Nets vs. Knicksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$88.78
Rockets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$15.86
Hornets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+26.6%+$5.37
Showing 25 of 122 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2024, EST5653.6%30 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle vs. West Ham end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST+28.2%+$18.61
Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2024, EST-100%-$165.61
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+158%+$292.14
Will Ipswich win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$13.77
Will Ipswich vs. Man Utd end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$234.33
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$132.03
Will Southampton win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$50.53
Will Man City vs. Spurs end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+26.6%+$45
Will Man City win on 2024-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+190.3%+$262.14
Will Spurs win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+566.7%+$425
Will Villa vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$402.41
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$230.63
Will Everton vs. Brentford end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+284.6%+$291.95
Will Wolves win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+566.2%+$360.55
Will Villa win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$269.83
Will Brentford win on 2024-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+51.5%+$24.4
Will Fulham win on 2024-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+149.4%+$246.55
Will Brighton win on 2024-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$648.19
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+42.9%+$150.02
Will Bournemouth vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$421Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+38.9%+$163.91
Will Fulham vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+32.2%+$40.13
Will Everton win on 2024-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+69.5%+$187
Will Leicester win on 2024-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$41.99
Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$399.28
Will Leicester vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+29.9%+$29.7
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2024, EST4751.1%24 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Benfica beat AS Monaco?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$277.33
Will the match between Bologna and LOSC Lille end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+44.9%+$46.83
Will the match between Monaco and Benfica end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+37%+$134.97
Will LOSC Lille beat Bologna?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$334.98
Will Aston Villa beat Juventus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+78.6%+$11.55
Will Monaco beat Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$49.71
Will PSV beat Shakhtar Donetsk?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$145
Will the match between Aston Villa and Juventus end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$339.99
Will Bologna beat LOSC Lille?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$11.99
Will Juventus beat Aston Villa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$135
Will the match between Dinamo Zagreb and Borussia Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+31.6%+$49.99
Will Shakhtar Donetsk beat PSV?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Dinamo Zagreb beat Borussia Dortmund?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$89.99
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Dinamo Zagreb?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$199.99
Will Celtic beat Club Brugge?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST-100%-$224.99
Will Club Brugge beat Celtic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+40.8%+$47.23
Will Sturm Graz beat Girona?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+284.6%+$370
Will Red Star Belgrade beat Stuttgart?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+356.2%+$226.95
Will Stuttgart beat Red Star Belgrade?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+125.7%+$143.52
Will the match between Red Star Belgrade and Stuttgart end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+33.3%+$125
Will the match between Sturm Graz and Girona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+35.1%+$129.99
Will Girona beat Sturm Graz?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2024, EST+104.1%+$50
Will the match between Bayern Munich and Paris Saint-Germain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+26.6%+$105
Will Bayern Munich beat Paris Saint-Germain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST-100%-$176.58
Will Atalanta beat Young Boys?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2024, EST+51.5%+$170
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST4641.3%19 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$250.59
Spread: Ohio State (-8.5)backed Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$470
Will Georgia Tech beat NC State by 10 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$219.15
Will Georgia Tech and NC State combine for 52 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST+122.2%+$275
Will BYU beat Kansas by 4 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+82.3%+$48.23
Will BYU beat Kansas?backed Kansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST+132.6%+$526.82
Will UNLV and San Diego State combine for 54 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$230
Will Georgia beat Tennessee?backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$34.28
Will Georgia and Tennessee combine for 48 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$23.43
Will South Carolina beat Missouri by 15 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$159.02
Will South Carolina and Missouri combine for 48 or more points?backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+174%+$616.57
Will LSU beat Florida by 4 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$183.97
Will LSU beat Florida?backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$590
Will Penn State beat Purdue by 28 or more points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$410
Will Texas beat Arkansas?backed Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$70
Will Ohio State beat Northwestern by 29 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$451.15
Will Ohio State and Northwestern combine for 45 or more points?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+109.7%+$49.83
CFB: Penn State vs. Washingtonbacked Penn St · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+25%+$79.64
CFB: Colorado vs. Texas Techbacked TTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$167.19
CFB: South Carolina vs. Vanderbiltbacked Cocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+53.8%+$174.49
CFB: Clemson vs. Virginia Techbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+53.8%+$92.84
CFB: Iowa State vs. Kansasbacked Iowa St · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$211.98
CFB: Army vs. North Texasbacked UNT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST-100%-$204.99
CFB: Minnesota vs. Rutgersbacked Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+212.5%+$336.21
CFB: Cincinnati vs. West Virginiabacked WV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+203%+$236.05
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$209.94
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$265
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$156
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$122
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$51
World Series: Yankees vs. Dodgers Game 3backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$205Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2024, EDT+143.9%+$295
Guardians vs. Yankees - Game 4backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2024, EDT-100%-$184
Mets vs. Dodgers - Game 4backed Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT-100%-$46.66
Yankees vs. Guardians - Game 3backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+108.3%+$156
Will the Mets or Dodgers win Game 3 of the NLCS?backed Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+104.1%+$204
Yankees vs. Guardians - Game 2backed Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$254.58
All 14 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 10, 2024, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2024, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2024, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+150%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Djokovic win a gold medal in Paris?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2024, EDT+400%+$210.74
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon Men's?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$488.23
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.43
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$108
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$170
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2024, EDT+334.8%+$770
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Akshay Bhatia win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 9, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.