Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9cdb8065bddc75c57418315df6521b5a39ac8876b50f44f0f7b17f530d3abbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,403
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 28c | 24,241$6,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,787.37 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 72c | 24,188$17,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,772.72 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 31c | 3,478$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.88 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 70c | 3,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 13c | 2,244$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.17 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 29c | 1,552$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.96 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 29c | 1,485$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.56 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 27c | 1,058$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.73 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f6…2ed5backed Yes | 71c | 1,003$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.5 | 78 | 25.6%20 W · 58 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Yes | 71c | 999.96$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 28c | 989.67$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed No | 29c | 779.56$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.62 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 71c | 753.08$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.28 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 71c | 658.25$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.89 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 71c | 616.45$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.99 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 28c | 577.48$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.69 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 29c | 531.3$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.29 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56a4…2be9backed No | 29c | 510.34$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 70c | 500.08$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.02 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba5f…0edcbacked No | 28c | 465.55$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407a…28d9backed No | 29c | 379.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed No | 28c | 356.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3438…26fabacked No | 27c | 328.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…269bbacked Yes | 70c | 318.93$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.68 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dd…2973backed No | 29c | 318.27$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a9…f42fbacked Yes | 72c | 301.13$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.72 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed No | 9c | 301.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c5…c8c1backed Yes | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ea…7776backed Yes | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4594…b1acbacked Yes | 74c | 287.64$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Yes | 72c | 275.86$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.38 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe227…55d8backed Yes | 73c | 273.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745c…22bcbacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 26c | 246.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 72c | 222.04$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed No | 28c | 167.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.33 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80a…8483backed Yes | 72c | 165.28$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…becebacked Yes | 71c | 152.1$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 25c | 150$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked No | 11c | 145.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed No | 30c | 139$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b3…27b4backed Yes | 72c | 137.27$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…c28dbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ff…e1f0backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…8dd5backed No | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…ffacbacked Yes | 70c | 113.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 72c | 111.11$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 73c | 109$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9866…6e9fbacked Yes | 71c | 103.15$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89a…18e7backed No | 28c | 102$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…2a8dbacked Yes | 72c | 102$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 70c | 101.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x030f…f80cbacked Yes | 71c | 101.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f2…79d0backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…c40ebacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 182 | 32.4%59 W · 123 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed No | 30c | 98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e12…141ebacked Yes | 72c | 97.61$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 70c | 93.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff1e…bab7backed Yes | 74c | 79.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…e316backed Yes | 73c | 77.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -6.0wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbf…b0eabacked No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…b250backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…38c3backed No | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa96d…25b3backed Yes | 71c | 65.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…eaa2backed No | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c96…e253backed Yes | 74c | 62.56$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8466…a98fbacked Yes | 72c | 57.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1454…b69abacked Yes | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dd…7b74backed Yes | 73c | 55.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f85…d745backed Yes | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3417…3e8dbacked No | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…ed0dbacked Yes | 72c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…09a9backed No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…1e44backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcca…a5c8backed Yes | 74c | 48.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3891…f966backed Yes | 74c | 43.24$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa635…918dbacked Yes | 76c | 42.55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259a…991dbacked Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked No | 28c | 41.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes | 71c | 39.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6d…0f7fbacked No | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed Yes | 70c | 37.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…9cf7backed No | 29c | 37.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…e6cdbacked Yes | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…5fa4backed Yes | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7e92…395abacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-23?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.