TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x188b…6003

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
74
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Commodities at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$320
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+400%+$800
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$3,165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+76.6%+$2,424.77
Will Manchester City win on 2025-01-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$167.16
Will Manchester City win again in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$25.9
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$143.8
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$224
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST-100%-$157.14
Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST+108.3%+$156
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$95
Will Newcastle win on 2024-11-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2024, EST+66.7%+$100
Will Liverpool win on 2024-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+75.4%+$86
Will Southampton win on 2024-11-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+53.8%+$52.5
Will Man City win on 2024-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+209.3%+$203
Will Villa win on 2024-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST+141.2%+$84.9
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2024, EST-100%-$100.32
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-11-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Will Man City win on 2024-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2024, EST+117.8%+$117.83
Will Chelsea win on 2024-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST+58.7%+$29.37
Will Man Utd win on 2024-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Will Southampton win on 2024-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal win on 2024-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
All 25 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,717Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+35%+$949.71
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,039Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+242.1%+$2,514.76
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$415
Trump ends taxes on tips in first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Will Pete Hegseth be Trump's Defense Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$193.19
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$35.93
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+135.2%+$1,729.96
Will Trump nominate Marc Rowan for Treasury Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2024, EST-100%-$214.15
Trump nominates RFK Jr. to Cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+53.8%+$349.99
Trump nominates Tulsi Gabbard to Cabinet?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST+72.4%+$724.14
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$1,000
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.85
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.66
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+206.2%+$511.97
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$585Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$915
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$170.5
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+64%+$390.16
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$269Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$269.38
Will AC Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$65.53
Will Liverpool beat Bayer Leverkusen?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2024, EST+82.6%+$20.65
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-79.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mercedes double podium at the 2026 Chinese Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$377.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+43.3%+$86.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine hits Moscow before 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+42.3%+$106.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$32.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MicroStrategy market cap dip to $50b in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$161.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
70°F in NYC in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$69.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Google forced to sell Chrome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$271.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oasis break up before their tour?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2025, EST-100%-$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anderlecht beat RFS?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$55
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.