Premier League · resolved market
Will Villa win on 2024-11-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26e24df1c16939eb62a8fe3657b069e4aa4a35975935e83be45b3cfc3009be72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2c7…1cf5backed Yes | 57c | 3,706$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,112.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…edeabacked No | 43c | 3,662$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +140.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe34…cf4cbacked No | 41c | 1,719$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.55 | 79 | 68.4%54 W · 25 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9478…63f5backed No | 43c | 1,657$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.28 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 39c | 1,488$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.93 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked No | 43c | 1,001$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 43c | 987.35$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.28 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 57c | 804.92$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.8 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Yes | 57c | 706.34$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…f0e7backed Yes | 29c | 690.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 59c | 600$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7801…422bbacked Yes | 27c | 590.7$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.49 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 68c | 572.88$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.45 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed No | 39c | 518.12$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.05 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 59c | 457.33$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.83 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 35c | 429.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 40c | 398.35$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.01 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…9d12backed Yes | 59c | 350.32$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.69 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 57cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 80c | 327.41$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.15 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1036backed Yes | 42c | 273$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.03 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 61c | 250$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1466…1d5abacked Yes | 60c | 223.53$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.12 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -52%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48e…8f7dbacked Yes | 54c | 210$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.2 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…96b2backed Yes | 39c | 202.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa075…09fdbacked Yes | 35c | 181.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes | 59c | 168.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 52c | 167.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb737…f72ebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…9d2fbacked Yes | 27c | 160$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x188b…6003backed No | 41c | 145.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 67c | 140$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cd…3cf2backed No | 42c | 136$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.25 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 61c | 131$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.91 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2532…228dbacked Yes | 30c | 130.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370d…7a59backed No | 38c | 127$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…67b8backed Yes | 62c | 127$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 40c | 125.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…6fd3backed Yes | 27c | 118.41$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa565…f37abacked Yes | 60c | 117$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1450…0275backed No | 40c | 117$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0058…1463backed No | 40c | 116$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 54cpaid | +91.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4a…5620backed Yes | 60c | 116$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ab…efa2backed No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf923…6355backed No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…c119backed No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c7…472fbacked Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…76b6backed Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bd…b3efbacked No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…e140backed Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…1e1abacked Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…2360backed No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ef…6024backed No | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…9373backed No | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df7…7cd2backed Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9291…7e83backed No | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73cc…a434backed No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa856…d35ebacked No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4db…285ebacked Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfb…6853backed No | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4a…ea44backed Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2b…01ddbacked No | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9522…b0c4backed Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e7…f9d1backed No | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x152d…485ebacked Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…62f2backed No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a29…99bcbacked No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa473…7c5fbacked Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae13…30ccbacked Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…d733backed Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdba5…b17ebacked No | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13e…36c2backed No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a05…8775backed Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0564…bb5fbacked No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…9179backed No | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1934…6e20backed Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x094b…c415backed No | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42fb…163fbacked No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1afa…63e9backed Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…9a00backed No | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1492…3bcabacked Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda98…bac9backed No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b1…0047backed Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c8…b541backed Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d99…ae66backed Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…0dd3backed Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacdd…5a35backed Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fda…5d1cbacked Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…1982backed No | 40c | 110$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x790e…dd7cbacked No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…5a03backed Yes | 61c | 110$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95df…da02backed No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…2733backed No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9b…9170backed No | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb18e…9033backed Yes | 60c | 110$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Villa win on 2024-11-23?this page
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-11-23?No won
- Will Villa vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.