TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb6be…c2f8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NFL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 54 out of 100; worst MLB at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2025, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
White Sox vs. Rockiesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$54.22
Marlins vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$570.9
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$229.63
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,317.65
Nationals vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$914Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$810.75
Phillies vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+59.3%+$117.32
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$783Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$783.47
Marlins vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,115.05
Nationals vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,192.72
Giants vs. White Soxbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$803Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+87.6%+$703.63
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,893Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,892.89
Marlins vs. Giantsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,054Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$316.83
Cubs vs. Cardinalsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,501Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+82.3%+$1,234.84
Rays vs. Royalsbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$626Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$678.6
Marlins vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$737Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$736.74
Red Sox vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,725Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+68.6%+$1,183.28
Diamondbacks vs. White Soxbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$699.73
Marlins vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,977Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,977.37
Pirates vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$986Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$985.72
Red Sox vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,136Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+84.9%+$964
Marlins vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,566Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+49%+$1,256.14
Dodgers vs. Guardiansbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,063Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT+82.5%+$876.48
Blue Jays vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$176
Cardinals vs. Oriolesbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$785Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$784.56
Giants vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$250
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Blackhawksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$229.6
Panthers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$31.86
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$615
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$360.54
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,214Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+68.9%+$837.03
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$340.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+88.4%+$15.48
Broncos vs. Saintsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,380Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2024, EDT+72.4%+$999.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sunrisers Hyderabad vs. Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+100%+$71
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WNBA Finals: Lynx vs. Liberty Game 3backed Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT+63.9%+$223.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+43.7%+$9.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$77.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,499.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.