MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75103ab4c489bde5cf07af6fe103ad0eb473aa37d1852e2cbfb7f4a53187254f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf05b…ff49backed Guardians | 44c | 31,822$14,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,001.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bac…d28cbacked Dodgers | 56c | 31,682$17,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,940.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Guardians | 46c | 14,369$6,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,609.65 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Guardians | 47c | 12,786$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Dodgers | 54c | 10,644$5,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,896.46 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Guardians | 1c | 7,346$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.29 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 11c | 5,124$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Dodgers | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Guardians | 45c | 3,983$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,792.35 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecb…070fbacked Dodgers | 73c | 2,898$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.08 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Dodgers | 55c | 2,864$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.61 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Guardians | 46c | 2,700$1,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,242.1 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers | 53c | 2,699$1,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.57 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 42c | 2,666$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.16 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…adc4backed Dodgers | 56c | 2,650$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 45c | 2,445$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.24 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe456…a60bbacked Guardians | 44c | 2,100$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Dodgers | 55c | 2,050$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1281…8cfabacked Guardians | 44c | 2,045$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed Dodgers | 56c | 2,008$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.52 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd7…0356backed Guardians | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x372f…3b19backed Guardians | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbabc…1606backed Guardians | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa09d…4ee0backed Guardians | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Dodgers | 55c | 1,939$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$876.48 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Dodgers | 54c | 1,655$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.75 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa10d…acc6backed Dodgers | 50c | 1,520$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ad…e00dbacked Guardians | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Dodgers | 73c | 1,365$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.86 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Dodgers | 53c | 1,332$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf521…14adbacked Dodgers | 56c | 1,161$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cce…5a68backed Guardians | 44c | 1,150$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Dodgers | 55c | 1,102$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.87 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3c…cd74backed Guardians | 44c | 1,100$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…d3a2backed Dodgers | 56c | 1,098$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.12 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Guardians | 46c | 1,075$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.56 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da9…2238backed Dodgers | 56c | 1,054$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9653…f09dbacked Dodgers | 56c | 1,054$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe112…15e5backed Dodgers | 56c | 1,046$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.24 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…91b7backed Dodgers | 56c | 1,018$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ab…e432backed Dodgers | 56c | 1,018$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…2c07backed Guardians | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Dodgers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…98cfbacked Guardians | 50c | 990.44$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab7…d6eebacked Dodgers | 56c | 982$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x475e…f5fcbacked Dodgers | 56c | 982$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians | 3c | 969.49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…a0d7backed Dodgers | 56c | 947$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0a…f43abacked Dodgers | 56c | 946$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1a…bf3abacked Dodgers | 76c | 940.57$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.74 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7e…d78fbacked Dodgers | 56c | 939$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.16 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Dodgers | 55c | 933.47$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.06 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers | 73c | 927.6$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Dodgers | 55c | 913.27$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.97 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Dodgers | 55c | 909.22$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.15 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Dodgers | 54c | 901.94$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.45 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…95fbbacked Guardians | 28c | 897.6$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Guardians | 47c | 863.6$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.89 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 54c | 811.87$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.05 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dodgers | 55c | 627.32$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.29 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Dodgers | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Dodgers | 55c | 557.69$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.96 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Guardians | 46c | 544$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Guardians | 46c | 525$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.5 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians | 34c | 524.79$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.2 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Guardians | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Dodgers | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Guardians | 45c | 440$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Guardians | 4c | 413$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Dodgers | 53c | 398.94$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfe…78cdbacked Dodgers | 77c | 384.96$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Dodgers | 55c | 365$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Dodgers | 63c | 344.93$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.39 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Guardians | 22c | 323.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Dodgers | 70c | 303.7$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Dodgers | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Guardians | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…40cdbacked Guardians | 46c | 278.26$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Dodgers | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Dodgers | 57c | 264.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.93 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dodgers | 68c | 248$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…10c5backed Dodgers | 55c | 221.82$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.82 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Dodgers | 56c | 217.86$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.86 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Guardians | 49c | 205.26$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…ea6cbacked Guardians | 41c | 201.16$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.53 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Dodgers | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Dodgers | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…86f3backed Dodgers | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 51c | 194.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Guardians | 45c | 190.35$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.6 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Dodgers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Guardians | 18c | 171.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee64…3f7ebacked Guardians | 17c | 169.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 18c | 164.62$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Guardians | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe10e…cfddbacked Guardians | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Guardians | 46c | 145.65$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.