TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5b1f…1e95

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
613
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
25

Best Category: MLB, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 59 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST8543.5%37 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+42.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
MLB — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tarik Skubal win the 2025 AL Cy Young?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$221.78
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.55
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.58
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.64
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.31
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.52
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.76
Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.39
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.83
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.85
Guardians vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.93
Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.66
Braves vs. Nationalsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+91%+$349.58
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the NL Central Division?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.45
Marlins vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.2
Mariners vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$93.35
Nationals vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+137%+$191.74
Rangers vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.97
Rays vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.76
Royals vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+218.4%+$781.14
Astros vs. Angelsbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$341
Red Sox vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+88.2%+$129.6
Tigers vs. Raysbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$226.8
Diamondbacks vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.26
Brewers vs. Twinsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+115%+$181.03
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST5817.2%10 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 58 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump deport 500,000-750,000- people?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$115.33
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$137.46
US forces in Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$209.08
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$542Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$542.24
Will the US officially declare war on Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.23
Will the U.S. invade Iran in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$169.37
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$235.51
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$90.75
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$858Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$858.09
Trump invokes the Insurrection Act before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.46
Will Trump declare war on Iran before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.16
Will Andrew Cuomo win Queens in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+225.1%+$470.13
Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be between 10% and 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.71
Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be between 5% and 10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.96
Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be between 15% and 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Andrew Cuomo's first round margin of victory be less than 5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$184.13
Will Andrew Cuomo win Brooklyn in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.7
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.57
Will Donald Trump issue fewer than 10 executive orders in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+201.5%+$316.03
Will Donald Trump issue 10-14 executive orders in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.68
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+210.8%+$110.05
U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$518.15
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 1 and July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+222%+$131.43
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 7 and July 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.19
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed between July 14 and July 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.31
Showing 25 of 58 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT5516.4%9 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-27.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$632Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$631.86
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.06
Will the highest temperature in London be between 91-92°F on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.22
Will the highest temperature in London be between 89-90°F on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+200%+$75.53
Will the highest temperature in London be between 87-88°F on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+172.7%+$24.7
Will the highest temperature in London be 86°F or below on June 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.55
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 87-88°F on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.61
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 85-86°F on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.92
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 89-90°F on June 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.35
Will the highest temperature in London be between 80-81°F on June 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.77
Will the highest temperature in London be between 84-85°F on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.17
Will the highest temperature in London be between 82-83°F on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.32
Will the highest temperature in London be between 78-79°F on June 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.95
Will the highest temperature in London be between 77-78°F on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 77°F or higher on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 75-76°F on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+262.6%+$33.7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 73-74°F on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 71-72°F on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15-1.19ºC in May 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.54
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 83-84°F on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$119.92
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 87-88°F on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 85-86°F on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.69
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 81-82°F on June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.24
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.85
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 69–70°F on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.36
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT3420.6%7 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olly Pearson win Britain's Got Talent 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.46
Will Stacey Leadbeatter win Britain's Got Talent 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will Blackouts win Britain's Got Talent 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.75
Will Israel be the Televote Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+445.6%+$658.74
Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+199.9%+$317.09
Will Estonia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2025 Grand Final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.09
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.37
Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$146.71
Will Estonia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+172.5%+$345.48
Will Greece finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.94
Will Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+771.7%+$555.3
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.95
Will Germany finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.1
Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.01
Will Latvia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.47
Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.13
Will Lithuania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.12
Will Malta finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.74
Will Switzerland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+56.7%+$102.31
Will Armenia finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.84
Will United Kingdom finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.24
Will Norway finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.17
Will France finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$147.19
Will Israel finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT+263.8%+$147.84
Will Austria finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.34
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST3411.8%4 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-56.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BTS release any tracks in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+306.2%+$138.96
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.23
Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$146.48
Will NewJeans perform again in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.73
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24.13
Will Dan Trifu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$460.61
Will Victor Ponta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25.85
Will Crin Antonescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$12.51
Will Michelle Bachelet win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$124.3
Will the Party for Freedom win the second most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+227%+$68.09
Will Wavel Ramkalawan win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$20
Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.97
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$280.62
Will the next government of Suriname be NDP/NPS/ABOP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.2
Record low border encounters in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.72
Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.01
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be an Independent?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$564Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$564.07
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.95
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Florin Cîțu?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.89
Record low border encounters in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.59
Will Mikie Sherrill win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.18
Will Steven Fulop win the 2025 Democratic Primary for governor of New Jersey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$189.76
Will Lee Jae-myung win by between 14-17%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$237.66
Will Lee Jae-myung win 35-40% of the vote in the South Korea election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.13
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2025, EDT2825%7 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Inter Milan vs. River Plate: 3+ Goals Scored? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.66
Esperance Sportive vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.98
Will Benfica win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+367%+$296.04
Will Bayern Munich win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$329Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+347.1%+$1,142.45
Will Al Ahly beat FC Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.79
Will FC Porto vs. Al Ahly end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT+370.7%+$105.23
PSG vs. Seattle Sounders: 4+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+106.4%+$82.31
Manchester City vs. Al Ain: 4+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$371.97
Will Pachuca beat Real Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.96
Will Real Madrid vs. Pachuca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$156.88
Will Real Madrid beat Pachuca?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$415.3
Juventus vs. Wydad AC: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$381.59
Will Fluminense vs. Ulsan Hyundai end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$167.28
Will Fluminense beat Ulsan Hyundai?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$430.7
Will Ulsan Hyundai beat Fluminense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.63
Will Boca Juniors win Group C at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.99
Will Bayern Munich beat Boca Juniors?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.88
Will FC Porto win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+70.3%+$81.3
Will Monterrey beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.94
Boca Juniors vs. Benfica: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$158.8
Will Inter Miami CF beat Al Ahly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.67
Will Al Ahly vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$229.71
Will Al Ahly beat Inter Miami CF?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+54.8%+$15.54
Will Ousmane Dembélé be named the Champions League Final man of the match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.7
Will Alessandro Bastoni be named the Champions League Final man of the match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.48
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT2524%6 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Sonego vs. Humbertbacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.39
HSBC Championships: Alcaraz vs. Bautista Agutbacked Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$115.35
Terra Wortmann: Michelsen vs. Medvedevbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$243.99
HSBC Championships: Opelka vs. Rinderknechbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+102.1%+$80.77
HSBC Championships: Alcaraz vs. Munarbacked Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.14
HSBC Championships: Fearnley vs. Moutetbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.64
Terra Wortmann: Rublev vs. Etcheverrybacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+178.3%+$792.89
HSBC Championships: Lehecka vs. Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$207.28
HSBC Championships: Rune vs. McDonaldbacked McDonald · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$446Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$446.34
HSBC Championships: Evans vs. Nakashimabacked Evans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$137.87
Terra Wortmann: Michelsen vs. Tsitsipasbacked Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+53.7%+$30.01
Terra Wortmann: Zverev vs. Gironbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$125.67
HSBC Championships: De Minaur vs. Leheckabacked De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.48
Boss Open: Zverev vs. Nakashimabacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+36.8%+$49.79
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$970.16
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$599Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$598.9
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,124.78
French Open: Sinner vs. Djokovicbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$533Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$532.71
French Open: Musetti vs. Rune backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$170.44
French Open: Tiafoe vs. Altmaierbacked Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$350.63
Will Carlos Alcaraz reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$55.09
French Open: Rybakina vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$216.76
French Open: Popyrin vs. Paulbacked Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$236.96
French Open: Griekspoor vs. Ethan Quinnbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.91
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+164%+$204.38
All 25 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BLAST.tv Austin Major: NAVI vs. Vitalitybacked NAVI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$338.6
BLAST.tv Austin Major: NAVI vs. G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$254.49
BLAST.tv Austin Major: paiN vs. Nemigabacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.01
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Vitality vs. Nemigabacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.85
BLAST.tv Austin Major: 3DMAX vs. NAVIbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.47
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Aurora vs. FURIAbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.5
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Spirit vs. paiN Gamingbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.84
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Vitality vs. Legacybacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+560%+$424.07
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: OG vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+79.7%+$179.3
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: FaZe vs. Legacybacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.11
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: M80 vs. TYLOObacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+221.8%+$70.22
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: MIBR vs. Legacybacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+189.5%+$47.78
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: paiN vs. Nemigabacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.6
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: 3DMAX vs. BetBoombacked BetBoom · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.11
CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: FlyQuest vs. Nemigabacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+126.8%+$200.43
CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: Betboom vs. Wildcardbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.92
CS2: BLAST.tv Austin Major: Complexity vs. OGbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$39.04
Will "m0NESY" get at least one 2.00+ rating on at least 1 map of the IEM Dallas playoffs? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+70.7%+$51.34
IEM Dallas: The MongolZ vs. Aurorabacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.17
IEM Dallas: Vitality vs. The MongolZbacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$129.83
IEM Dallas: 3DMAX vs. G2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.34
Will FaZe win the IEM Dallas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.45
IEM Dallas: Aurora vs. HEROICbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.07
PGL Astana: Spirit vs. Ninjas in Pyjamasbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.17
All 24 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST2317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-44.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$97.94
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$50.73
Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.51
Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.29
Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 40–49?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$4.2
Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 30–39?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$6.66
Will "Smurfs" Rotten Tomatoes score be 70 or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.72
Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.91
Will "28 Years Later" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $34-38m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.56
Will "Elio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $20-23m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.02
Will "Elio" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $29m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.77
Will "Elio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $26-29m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.28
Will "Elio" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $23-26m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$341.7
Will "Elio" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $20m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$281Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$280.69
Will "The Phoenician Scheme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $3m and $5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.47
Will "The Phoenician Scheme" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $5m and $7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$133.52
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $20m or more but less than $23m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+383.8%+$428.98
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $32m or more opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.92
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$339Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$338.89
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 50?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$216.15
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 50-54?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.93
Will "Karate Kid: Legends" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 55-59?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+426.5%+$102.62
Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross less than $60m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$221.21
All 23 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2123.8%5 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$186.39
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+201.3%+$323.35
Will Ferrari be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.42
Will McLaren finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.03
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2025 Constructors Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.03
F1 Austrian Grand Prix: Safety Car? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.34
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.37
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+362.2%+$236.68
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.2
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Austrian Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+43.8%+$12.89
Will Mercedes have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.33
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.03
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.83
Will George Russell win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.27
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$292Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$292.18
Will Andrea Antonelli win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.1
Hamilton vs. Leclerc backed Hamilton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.05
Verstappen vs. Russellbacked Russell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.33
Norris vs. Piastribacked Norris · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$15.57
Alonso vs. Strollbacked Stroll · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+327.6%+$312.03
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29.16
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$16.04
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.12
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.24
Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$545Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$544.79
Will Powell say "Unemployment" 15+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+81.3%+$88.63
Will Powell say "Obvious" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+145.7%+$288.53
Will Powell say "Downbeat" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.39
Will Powell say "Recession" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+283.4%+$724.13
Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.52
Will Powell say "China" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+57.3%+$86.2
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.33
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.73
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$159.96
Will Powell say "Comment" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$89.81
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$348.23
Will Powell say "Summer" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$6.06
Will Powell say "Immigration" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$185.13
Will Powell say "Median" during June Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.61
Fed rate cut by June meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.14
Will Powell say "Economy" during Princeton Commencement on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+143.2%+$143.74
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST214.8%1 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick16cpaid-92.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$121.73
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+57.3%+$381.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$4,822Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,821.54
Will XRP reach $2.5 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$907Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$907.05
Will XRP dip to $1.9 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,653Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,652.59
Will XRP reach $2.8 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$500.35
Will XRP dip to $1.7 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$1,357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,357.15
Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.48
Will XRP dip to $1.4 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$251Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$250.85
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100K and $102K on June 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$494Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$493.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,448.44
Will XRP dip to $2 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$552.32
Will XRP reach $2.3 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$168.86
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$933.23
Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.61
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$548.81
Ethereum all time high in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.21
Will Solana dip to $110 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$117.9
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$666.55
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$275.4
Will Hyperliquid reach $30 before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$78.01
All 21 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2025, EDT1910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick8cpaid-52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sam Burns win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$326.46
Will J.J. Spaun win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+547.5%+$339.36
Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$360.89
Will Adam Scott win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.75
Will Tyrrell Hatton win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$253.53
Will Hideki Matsuyama win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.54
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.58
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$779Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$779.43
Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.01
Will Russell Henley win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.91
Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Joaquin Niemann win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.6
Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.27
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.41
Will Sam Burns win the 2025 RBC Canadian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.42
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2025 Memorial Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.84
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+151.3%+$486.81
Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 PGA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.24
PGA Championship: Hole in One? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
All 19 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Las Vegas Aces win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+1,336.6%+$284.69
Will the Phoenix Mercury win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.64
Will the Indiana Fever win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.23
Will the Minnesota Lynx win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$163.27
Will the New York Liberty win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+92.5%+$153.26
Will the Seattle Storm win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.83
Will the Atlanta Dream win the 2025 WNBA Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.38
Liberty vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.31
Sparks vs Lynxbacked Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$107
Mystics vs Dreambacked Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+35.3%+$64.51
Storm vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.25
Mystics vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.59
Lynx vs Wingsbacked Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.97
Dream vs Sunbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+409%+$92.41
Mystics vs Feverbacked Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT+47.3%+$66.51
Lynx vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.29
Dream vs Stormbacked Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.4
Sun vs Dreambacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.88
Sun vs Lynxbacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.47
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James join a new team this offseason?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.8
Will the Knicks hire Jason Kidd as their next head coach?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+29.7%+$9.39
Will Pacers win by 1-10 points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.59
Will Chet Holmgren Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will the Pacers win by 11+ points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$116.93
NBA Playoffs: Will a #1 seed win the Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.38
NBA Finals: Will any player score 40+ points? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+70.3%+$156.36
NBA Finals G5: Will Haliburton score 17+ points against the Thunder? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$90.96
NBA Finals G5: Will SGA score 35+ points against the Pacers?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+97.6%+$253.2
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+164.5%+$75.54
Will Julius Randle Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.38
Will Jalen Brunson Win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.25
Will Knicks vs. Thunder be the 2025 NBA Finals matchup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$237.45
Will the Timberwolves beat the Thunder 4-3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.44
Spread: Pacers (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.84
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.19
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.2
Will the Knicks beat the Celtics 4-3backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.25
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$28.15
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2025, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will El Salvador beat Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.4
Will Guadeloupe vs. Guatemala end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT+36.4%+$14.5
Will Dominican Republic beat Suriname?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.74
Will Trinidad beat Saudi Arabia?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$22.55
Will Saudi Arabia beat Trinidad?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.82
Will Honduras beat El Salvador?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+107.5%+$111.1
Will USA beat Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$15.91
Will Canada vs. Honduras end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.14
Will Jamaica beat Guatemala?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT+121.7%+$221.53
Will Costa Rica vs. Suriname end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+183.8%+$21.16
Will Suriname beat Costa Rica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Costa Rica beat Suriname?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+560.4%+$280.63
Will France beat Germany?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$208.63
Will Norway beat Italy?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$178.55
Will Italy beat Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$105.33
Will Norway vs. Italy end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.13
Will France beat Spain?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+46.5%+$81.52
UEFA Nations League: Germany vs. Portugal (To Advance)backed Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.46
All 18 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+172.9%+$934.28
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30.58
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$282.65
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+39.4%+$14.88
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.24
Will Jony Ive join Meta before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.8
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$186.04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.8
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$346.08
Grok 4 released by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.41
Grok 4 released by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.24
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.18
X data center fire confirmed arson before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.42
Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$51.42
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$474.4
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+857.6%+$686.69
Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.68
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.69
All 18 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2025, EDT166.3%1 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-76.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 190–204 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$356.91
Will Elon tweet 250–264 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.32
Will Elon tweet 115–129 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,227Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,227.16
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times June 20–27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$1,057Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,057.33
Will Zohran Mamdani tweet 40 or more times Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$139.65
Will Elon tweet 280–294 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.43
Will Elon tweet 250–264 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.7
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+276.4%+$165.13
Will Elon tweet 100–114 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.79
Will Elon tweet 350 or more times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.72
Will Elon tweet 275–299 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.74
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$420.31
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$376Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$376.16
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$197.31
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$589Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$588.87
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$569Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$568.57
All 16 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1520%3 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-59%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+156.6%+$716.51
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$453.97
Netanyahu out by 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$698Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$698.04
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$931Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$930.96
US x Iran ceasefire before August? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$305.21
Israeli ground operation against Fordow before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$102.36
Will Israel invade Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$203.62
Another U.S. strike on Fordow nuclear facility before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$824Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$824.19
US x Iran ceasefire before July? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$415.37
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,717Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,716.9
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$5,627Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+123.2%+$6,930.58
Iran x Israel conflict ends by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$654Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$653.82
Israel strike on Iran on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$136.67
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$3,532Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,532.42
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$324Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+36%+$116.65
All 15 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick13cpaid-72.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Adrienne Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$13.46
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$167.77
Will Brad Lander win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$59.13
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,463Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,463.32
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$417.25
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,127Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+256.1%+$2,887.44
Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 24% and 28% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.31
Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be between 28% and 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$236.3
Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be less than 24% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.43
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.73
Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.11
Will reconciliation bill be passed by June 30? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$584Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$584.15
Will reconciliation bill be passed by Memorial day? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.13
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-79%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick19cpaid-48.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+71.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Will Buckley win by KO/TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+75.1%+$104.65
Erosa vs. Costabacked Erosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.94
Park vs. Hernandezbacked Hernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.73
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.04
Lucknow Super Giants vs. Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.2
Royal Challengers Bangalore vs. Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$181.9
All 3 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+136.9%+$551.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek better than all OpenAI models before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 Superheavy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$232.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold close below $3200 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chamath launch a SPAC in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.