CS2 · resolved market
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: 3DMAX vs. BetBoom
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20426cf07cf82e888416b3b95564d9685a8de9108a549d96dcd2ce26529757bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof 3DMAX, BetBoom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9dcb…3e9ebacked 3DMAX | 53c | 15,000$7,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,050.84 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked BetBoom | 47c | 7,500$3,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,525 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed BetBoom | 47c | 7,102$3,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,337.77 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed BetBoom | 51c | 1,970$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.05 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 3DMAX | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9af8…07ccbacked 3DMAX | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6e…3a58backed BetBoom | 49c | 830$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed 3DMAX | 49c | 748.48$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.72 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…4197backed BetBoom | 6c | 693.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked 3DMAX | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked BetBoom | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed BetBoom | 12c | 597.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed BetBoom | 33c | 558.4$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked 3DMAX | 79c | 505$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.68 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked BetBoom | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BetBoom | 7c | 330$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb678…5a9dbacked BetBoom | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed BetBoom | 42c | 276.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.34 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed 3DMAX | 58c | 275.27$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.61 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65eb…e197backed 3DMAX | 51c | 225.29$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed BetBoom | 49c | 206.95$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 420 | 57.1%240 W · 180 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked BetBoom | 21c | 206.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x162e…941ebacked BetBoom | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb093…1a89backed BetBoom | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aec…d1f0backed BetBoom | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed BetBoom | 50c | 151.81$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.61 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…3e65backed 3DMAX | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…54c8backed BetBoom | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked 3DMAX | 50c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d23…341dbacked BetBoom | 37c | 57.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…df31backed 3DMAX | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked 3DMAX | 48c | 28.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked BetBoom | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed BetBoom | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.