TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf070…fe6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
190
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 59 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT7349.3%36 W · 37 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+27.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.15
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Colombia vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.42
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$171.09
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.3
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$281.91
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 1 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.7
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$270
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+671.2%+$738.28
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Austria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Spread: United States (-1.5)backed Bosnia and Herzegovina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$600
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$230
England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$278.57
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$338.1
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$267.9
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT4942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.7
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$330
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$155.51
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$198
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$244.9
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$213.74
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$155.3
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$164
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.15
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$221.1
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$263.38
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$320
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$280
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
CS: TYLOO vs Liquidbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$527Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$526.59
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Legacy vs. MOUZbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.64
BLAST.tv Austin Major: NAVI vs. G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$549.6
BLAST.tv Austin Major: Aurora vs. MOUZbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$124.69
BLAST.tv Austin Major: 3DMAX vs. paiNbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+150.9%+$452.62
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$540
Will West Ham win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$371
Will West Ham win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
Will Leeds United win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$248
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$220
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$253.5
Will West Ham win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$495Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$494.5
Will Tottenham win on 2025-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$499Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$280.8
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$144
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$403
Will Newcastle vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$501Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$269.5
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.57
Will West Ham win on 2025-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$605
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$300
Thunder vs Pacers: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$232.2
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$612Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$588
NBA Finals G3: Will Haliburton score 18+ points against the Thunder? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$273.6
Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$373.32
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.7
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$546
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$390
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$504
Timberwolves vs Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
Knicks vs Pacers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$520.2
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$221.4
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$299
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$216
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+60.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+525%+$1,312.92
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.48
Will Barcelona win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$640
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$570
Will Club Brugge win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$610
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$210
Will Inter win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$430
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$490
Will Inter Miami CF beat Al Ahly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$751Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$751.2
Will Inter win on 2025-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$306.8
Champions League Final: PSG vs. Inter Milanbacked Inter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$597Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$596.7
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+12.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2024, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2025-09-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$190
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$185
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$612Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$612
All 2 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MSI Playoffs: Gen.G vs. G2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$217
Will Bilibili Gaming win LoL Worlds 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2024, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$522Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$1,278
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. PARIVISIONbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.