NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x431ecb7af4832b1791ea824bd4d472ab1fabbe2f3d28be9e8b61bd2c2bfe8441
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Thunder | 48c | 43,821$21,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,786.78 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…d915backed Pacers | 52c | 15,375$7,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,994.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Pacers | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Pacers | 51c | 11,300$5,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,779.99 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Pacers | 44c | 9,308$4,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,055.73 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Thunder | 57c | 7,037$3,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.91 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Thunder | 49c | 3,600$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Pacers | 51c | 3,500$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Thunder | 49c | 3,333$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,699.83 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Thunder | 48c | 3,225$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,683.04 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Pacers | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Pacers | 52c | 2,800$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 47c | 2,752$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,454.8 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Pacers | 51c | 2,400$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Thunder | 50c | 2,276$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.85 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Pacers | 52c | 2,241$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.47 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pacers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Thunder | 49c | 1,968$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.5 | 259 | 45.6%118 W · 141 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Thunder | 60c | 1,738$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.84 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Pacers | 2c | 1,673$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Thunder | 74c | 1,552$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.25 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Thunder | 47c | 1,283$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.03 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Thunder | 46c | 1,275$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.55 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Thunder | 70c | 1,062$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.11 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Pacers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Thunder | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Pacers | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Pacers | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Pacers | 47c | 850$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.8 | 359 | 42.1%151 W · 208 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Thunder | 49c | 809.57$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.88 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Pacers | 52c | 800$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers | 50c | 741.85$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.93 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Thunder | 46c | 599.95$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.97 | 267 | 55.8%149 W · 118 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Thunder | 58c | 546.63$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.16 | 157 | 24.2%38 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Thunder | 49c | 505.96$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.04 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Pacers | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Thunder | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Thunder | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…fe6bbacked Pacers | 51c | 470$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Thunder | 48c | 465.29$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.95 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Pacers | 51c | 443.14$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Pacers | 52c | 422$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Pacers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Thunder | 62c | 362.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.45 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1471…7926backed Thunder | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Pacers | 36c | 350$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 140 | 41.4%58 W · 82 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Pacers | 51c | 324.41$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.45 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Pacers | 52c | 300$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…8922backed Pacers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Pacers | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Pacers | 18c | 295.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.86 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.17per pick | 26cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…e26cbacked Pacers | 54c | 293.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.25 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b5…4edbbacked Pacers | 52c | 282.87$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.09 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Pacers | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Thunder | 47c | 225$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.25 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Pacers | 53c | 207.26$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Thunder | 49c | 204.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.07 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pacers | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Thunder | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…451ebacked Thunder | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Pacers | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…082cbacked Thunder | 50c | 199.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Thunder | 46c | 199.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.98 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…2f8abacked Pacers | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4910…76d1backed Pacers | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Pacers | 29c | 160$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…4392backed Pacers | 26c | 155.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Thunder | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 102 | 26.5%27 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Thunder | 45c | 144.18$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Pacers | 23c | 135.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Thunder | 74c | 133$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Thunder | 50c | 124$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 280 | 58.2%163 W · 117 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4919…0c56backed Thunder | 50c | 100.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Thunder | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…e16cbacked Pacers | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…5d47backed Pacers | 50c | 99.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d6…36cbbacked Pacers | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 245 | 33.9%83 W · 162 L | -19.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Thunder | 45c | 91.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.21 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…3488backed Pacers | 51c | 88.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…310cbacked Pacers | 51c | 85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…323cbacked Thunder | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…246cbacked Pacers | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Pacers | 52c | 82.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 264 | 39.4%104 W · 160 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…4aacbacked Pacers | 52c | 79.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Pacers | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Thunder | 46c | 75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pacers | 18c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Thunder | 48c | 65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f50…45aabacked Pacers | 54c | 53.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Thunder | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Thunder | 49c | 51.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Pacers | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Thunder | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Thunder | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Pacers | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed Thunder | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…0ab8backed Thunder | 47c | 47.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)this page
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pacers vs Thunder: O/U 228.5Over won
- Pacers vs. ThunderThunder won
- Spread: Thunder (-9.5)Thunder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.