TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xedc0…1b66

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 61 out of 100; worst NBA at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2025, EDT2231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Reds vs. Cardinalsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$206.44
Pirates vs. Tigersbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$22.66
Astros vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$16.82
Mets vs. Bravesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.84
Brewers vs. Cubsbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$21.91
Guardians vs. Marinersbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.9
Blue Jays vs. Philliesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.55
Pirates vs. Cubsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$55.37
Tigers vs. Oriolesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$535.7
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$877Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$877.15
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$637.02
Braves vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
Cubs vs. Philliesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Reds vs. Guardiansbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Marlins vs. Piratesbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$115
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$435
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,399Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT+84.6%+$1,183.79
Cubs vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Mariners vs. Diamondbacksbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.37
Dodgers vs. Padresbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$99.2
Rays vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.75
Blue Jays vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.07
All 22 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2025, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palmeiras win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Inter Miami CF win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$180.17
Will Inter Miami beat Palmeiras?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.3
Will Botafogo beat Atlético Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.76
Will Ulsan Hyundai beat Fluminense?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$130.57
Will Urawa Red Diamonds beat Inter Milan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.95
Will Inter Milan beat Urawa Red Diamonds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+107.4%+$431.11
Inter Milan vs. Urawa: 4+ Goals Scored? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$93.68
Bayern Munich vs. Boca Juniors: 4+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
LAFC vs. Esperance Sportive: 3+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$37.26
Benfica vs. Auckland City: 7+ Goals Scored?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$9.98
Flamengo vs. Chelsea: 3+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+100%+$20.21
Will Inter Miami beat FC Porto?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+306.9%+$157.43
Will Palmeiras beat Al Ahly?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+137.2%+$37.46
Will Chelsea beat LAFC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+30.8%+$44.91
Chelsea vs. LAFC: 4+ Goals Scored?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$223.56
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2025, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.32per pick32cpaid+103.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA beat Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$155
Will England beat Senegal?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+210.8%+$834.39
Will Senegal beat England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+444.3%+$2,412.32
Will Croatia beat Czechia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$43.2
Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+155%+$425.81
Will Portugal vs. Spain have an Other exact score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$120.7
Will Spain beat Portugal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$575Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$574.58
UEFA Nations League Final: Will Ronaldo score 1+ goals against Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+197.4%+$861.01
Will France beat Germany?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$898Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$1,528.54
Will Germany beat France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$45
Will Germany vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$330
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2025, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-41.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 175–189 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.58
Will Elon tweet 190–204 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.29
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+125.8%+$125.83
Will Elon tweet 160–174 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.12
Will Elon tweet 130–144 times June 13–20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.84
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$634Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$634.09
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.14
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+200%+$800.85
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times June 6–13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.43
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT90%0 W · 9 L-4.3wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$867Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$866.6
Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$191.4
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.6
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.12
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$597.96
NBA Finals G3: Will Haliburton score 18+ points against the Thunder? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.35
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.01
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
NBA Finals G2: Will Haliburton score 17+ points against the Thunder? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$282.5
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $200 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$216.39
Will Solana reach $180 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$535Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$535
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$35.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$55.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.