MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe37ebda5970d8c47973e8ea5482933ae847d6f8dacbeb4a5ec7a39aa626b085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Blue Jays, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $231,201
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Phillies | 51c | 169,517$86,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,268.65 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Blue Jays | 49c | 45,333$22,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,213.26 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Blue Jays | 49c | 36,000$17,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,640 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jays | 49c | 26,872$13,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,167.28 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Blue Jays | 49c | 26,314$12,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,893.71 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Blue Jays | 1c | 6,083$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 5,883$2,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,881.63 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Blue Jays | 33c | 4,702$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.95 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Blue Jays | 42c | 3,756$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Blue Jays | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Phillies | 51c | 2,100$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.99 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Blue Jays | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Blue Jays | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Blue Jays | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.97 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Phillies | 52c | 1,675$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.76 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Blue Jays | 5c | 1,541$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 1,534$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.66 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Blue Jays | 38c | 1,420$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.42 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jays | 36c | 1,292$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Blue Jays | 1c | 1,256$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 51c | 1,228$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.72 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Blue Jays | 2c | 1,144$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Phillies | 72c | 1,087$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.56 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blue Jays | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Blue Jays | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Phillies | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Blue Jays | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Blue Jays | 49c | 878.96$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.69 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Blue Jays | 46c | 788.32$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.63 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 52c | 786.47$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.35 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blue Jays | 45c | 783.61$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.81 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Phillies | 54c | 557.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.13 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Blue Jays | 13c | 538.46$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Blue Jays | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Blue Jays | 23c | 494$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8b…754fbacked Blue Jays | 6c | 489.71$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Phillies | 51c | 482.62$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.31 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…91debacked Blue Jays | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Blue Jays | 48c | 399.89$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 10c | 389$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Phillies | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 49c | 346.99$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.25 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 58c | 340.75$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.19 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Blue Jays | 48c | 339.91$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.52 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Blue Jays | 47c | 325.53$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Blue Jays | 32c | 323.07$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 53c | 314.11$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.63 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Phillies | 53c | 311.83$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.56 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Blue Jays | 23c | 300$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Phillies | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Blue Jays | 46c | 287.87$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.22 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Blue Jays | 9c | 250$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9e…547dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Phillies | 58c | 241.99$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Blue Jays | 47c | 211.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Blue Jays | 47c | 207.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Blue Jays | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Phillies | 51c | 166.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays | 45c | 159.24$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 68c | 156.74$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.92 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Blue Jays | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Blue Jays | 49c | 149.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Blue Jays | 49c | 146.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.11 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Phillies | 54c | 131$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.57 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa762…33b0backed Blue Jays | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Blue Jays | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Phillies | 50c | 111$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Phillies | 68c | 110.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Blue Jays | 47c | 110$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Phillies | 52c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Blue Jays | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Blue Jays | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Phillies | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Blue Jays | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Phillies | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Blue Jays | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blue Jays | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Phillies | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235f…8b28backed Blue Jays | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Phillies | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44dd…7153backed Phillies | 51c | 99.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Blue Jays | 23c | 98.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Blue Jays | 50c | 97.1$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Phillies | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Phillies | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Blue Jays | 49c | 89.88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 197 | 42.6%84 W · 113 L | -13.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Blue Jays | 20c | 88.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Blue Jays | 48c | 83.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…f295backed Phillies | 51c | 80.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Blue Jays | 46c | 78.7$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…7eb9backed Phillies | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Phillies | 52c | 69.62$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.42 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Blue Jays | 34c | 63.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…3a27backed Phillies | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.