TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2fe0…6e30

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
132
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Dota2, grading 50 out of 100 (0.00 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 50 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT7135.2%25 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.82
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$564.68
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$509.97
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$292
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+156.1%+$749.42
Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$518Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$517.72
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,612Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,120.4
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$132
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+155.5%+$739.02
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+1,718.2%+$1,890
Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.32
Cleveland Guardians vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$204
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$205
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$322.33
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$281.5
Tampa Bay Rays vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$238
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$45.9
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.42
Marlins vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.13
Twins vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+100%+$75
White Sox vs. Rangersbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.97
Yankees vs. Red Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.2
Blue Jays vs. Philliesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT3522.9%8 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.11
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$813.55
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$547Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$546.64
Suns vs. Magicbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.03
Warriors vs. Nuggetsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.3
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.08
Kings vs. Netsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Heat vs. Pacersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,728Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,727.54
Bulls vs. Grizzliesbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$537.99
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$218.6
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,451Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+127.4%+$1,848.98
Spread: Magic (-16.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+120.4%+$204.01
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Kings vs. Magicbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$260
76ers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$213.38
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$245.36
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11.22
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$184.72
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+159.1%+$181.25
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$81
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-32.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$214.4
Kraken vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.96
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$180
Senators vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$73.45
Maple Leafs vs. Senatorsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$46.8
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Blues vs. Jetsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.18
Wild vs. Golden Knightsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Sharks vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT+136.5%+$67.49
Stars vs. Red Wingsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-32%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$7,868Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$7,867.6
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,609Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$2,715.16
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$6,569Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,569.32
All 3 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halysbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Split: Matej Dodig vs Mili Poljicakbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Dubrovnik: Teodora Kostovic vs Alina Charaevabacked Teodora Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
All 3 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$834.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$160
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.