MLB · resolved market

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a4406119113d717306b22b738cc6906b90b17266b4ffb348be36064766f4aca

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Baltimore Oriolesof Baltimore Orioles, Boston Red Sox
Resolved: Jun 4, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $362,388
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $387,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,388 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf152…64aabacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	39,000$18,720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20,279.82	771	53.8%415 W · 356 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox	10c	31,037$3,151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,150.93	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Boston Red Sox	0c	30,792$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.72	99	49.5%49 W · 50 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	30,000$14,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,799.97	604	51%308 W · 296 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Boston Red Sox	53c	24,873$13,183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,182.71	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	-5.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	15,625$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,125	241	46.1%111 W · 130 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Boston Red Sox	52c	15,324$7,968 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,968.31	233	51.1%119 W · 114 L	+11.4wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Boston Red Sox	52c	15,000$7,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,800	1,301	50.2%653 W · 648 L	+19.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Boston Red Sox	52c	14,068$7,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,315.6	1,681	50.1%842 W · 839 L	-22.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	11,423$5,619 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,803.75	3,041	48%1,461 W · 1,580 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c5e…39a9backed Boston Red Sox	0c	11,000$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	10,000$4,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,200	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Boston Red Sox	52c	7,893$4,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,104.1	900	53.6%482 W · 418 L	+24.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	7,726$3,631 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,094.82	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Boston Red Sox	10c	6,133$589 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.87	212	42%89 W · 123 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Boston Red Sox	53c	5,900$3,127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,127	178	53.4%95 W · 83 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Boston Red Sox	27c	5,349$1,471 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,470.52	1,106	48.7%539 W · 567 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Baltimore Orioles	56c	5,268$2,950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,318.12	66	53%35 W · 31 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Boston Red Sox	52c	5,199$2,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,703.34	1,527	51.1%780 W · 747 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Boston Red Sox	52c	4,796$2,494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,493.92	1,769	51.6%912 W · 857 L	+16.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Boston Red Sox	0c	4,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	876	2.9%25 W · 851 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Boston Red Sox	10c	3,965$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$407.21	172	52.9%91 W · 81 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b33…86cdbacked Boston Red Sox	52c	3,801$1,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,976.51	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Boston Red Sox	25c	3,707$919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$919.4	4,368	47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L	-79.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f6…1f1bbacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	3,699$1,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,923.47	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.24per pick	51cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Baltimore Orioles	66c	3,366$2,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,144.41	1,215	47.6%578 W · 637 L	-19.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox	44c	3,303$1,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,446.61	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles	76c	2,387$1,813 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$574.12	8,403	47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L	+76.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Boston Red Sox	0c	2,351$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	586	2%12 W · 574 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Boston Red Sox	53c	2,342$1,241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,241.26	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf11…c679backed Boston Red Sox	52c	2,308$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	289	44.3%128 W · 161 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Boston Red Sox	5c	2,266$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.72	45	8.9%4 W · 41 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Baltimore Orioles	54c	2,189$1,182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,006.94	4,087	57.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L	+66.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Boston Red Sox	8c	1,955$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.04	522	28%146 W · 376 L	-57.7wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd428…6368backed Boston Red Sox	52c	1,948$1,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,012.78	394	56.9%224 W · 170 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	1,800$864 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$936	874	53%463 W · 411 L	+16.5wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Boston Red Sox	50c	1,682$847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$846.88	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56ce…590abacked Boston Red Sox	47c	1,637$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$769.54	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	1,500$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$795	432	53.9%233 W · 199 L	+12.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Boston Red Sox	52c	1,435$746 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.25	484	46.7%226 W · 258 L	-33.7wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Boston Red Sox	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	252	47.6%120 W · 132 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Boston Red Sox	52c	1,400$728 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$728	496	50.2%249 W · 247 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox	52c	1,265$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.76	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	1,254$602 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$652.03	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Boston Red Sox	53c	1,247$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$660.95	384	53.6%206 W · 178 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe231…93a5backed Boston Red Sox	52c	1,195$618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$617.6	108	46.3%50 W · 58 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4980…5709backed Boston Red Sox	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	28cpaid	-73.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Baltimore Orioles	47c	1,050$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$556.5	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8791…4c9abacked Boston Red Sox	5c	1,030$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.8	58	19%11 W · 47 L	-4.9wins	-0.08per pick	27cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox	51c	1,000$510 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$510	1,845	50.7%936 W · 909 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Baltimore Orioles	47c	990.53$466 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$524.98	195	46.2%90 W · 105 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Boston Red Sox	37c	982.15$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$361.52	8,192	46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L	+38.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Boston Red Sox	52c	962$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500.24	1,538	48.6%747 W · 791 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c7…d601backed Boston Red Sox	53c	943.4$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	107	50.5%54 W · 53 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked Boston Red Sox	53c	943.4$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	118	48.3%57 W · 61 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	872.63$426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$446.86	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	800$392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$408	859	52.6%452 W · 407 L	+7.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Baltimore Orioles	55c	799.98$440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$359.99	167	53.9%90 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c7f…a160backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	760.42$365 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$395.42	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	-3.8wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-33%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6815…9edbbacked Baltimore Orioles	57c	745.93$425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.75	447	44.1%197 W · 250 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16e4…0641backed Boston Red Sox	7c	714.29$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+1.0wins	+0.06per pick	30cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Baltimore Orioles	71c	626.5$447 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.58	1,113	49%545 W · 568 L	+22.1wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Baltimore Orioles	65c	615.38$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.38	662	50.2%332 W · 330 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	600$294 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$306	267	59.2%158 W · 109 L	+17.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fba…26dcbacked Boston Red Sox	53c	566$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.98	231	52.8%122 W · 109 L	-8.2wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a07…3f2bbacked Boston Red Sox	53c	561.04$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.35	19	68.4%13 W · 6 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	66cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ad…1b86backed Boston Red Sox	6c	535.92$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.41	55	32.7%18 W · 37 L	-3.0wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	384	44.3%170 W · 214 L	-13.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Boston Red Sox	53c	500$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265	319	49.5%158 W · 161 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	499.96$235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$264.98	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Boston Red Sox	3c	478.42$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	404	3.5%14 W · 390 L	-19.4wins	-0.05per pick	8cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb71e…641abacked Boston Red Sox	10c	468.11$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.68	141	42.6%60 W · 81 L	-6.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Boston Red Sox	52c	462.07$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.28	1,408	48.8%687 W · 721 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d29…8264backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	459.18$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.18	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.14per pick	56cpaid	-25%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Boston Red Sox	52c	453.3$236 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.72	273	51.3%140 W · 133 L	+7.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Boston Red Sox	52c	452.42$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.26	614	50.8%312 W · 302 L	+9.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	451.24$217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.65	2,104	51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L	+11.9wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Boston Red Sox	36c	432.42$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.32	116	37.9%44 W · 72 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Baltimore Orioles	69c	412.37$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.53	5,149	54.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L	+231.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	409.25$196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.81	410	51.7%212 W · 198 L	+14.8wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	400$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208	328	50%164 W · 164 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Boston Red Sox	52c	400$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	210	57.6%121 W · 89 L	+13.1wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Boston Red Sox	19c	399.54$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.58	529	55.6%294 W · 235 L	+13.1wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	390$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.7	1,418	43.4%616 W · 802 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a5…cd84backed Boston Red Sox	53c	377.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	100	46%46 W · 54 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…67fdbacked Baltimore Orioles	47c	300$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	377	48.8%184 W · 193 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc52…dfcebacked Boston Red Sox	52c	300$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x085c…99e3backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	300$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$159	244	48.4%118 W · 126 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Boston Red Sox	52c	297$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.44	300	48%144 W · 156 L	-7.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Boston Red Sox	52c	296.4$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.13	1,056	48.3%510 W · 546 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe0…6e30backed Boston Red Sox	4c	295.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.82	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa24…a75cbacked Boston Red Sox	52c	288.46$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+4.8wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox	33c	284.41$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.86	6,123	55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L	+346.0wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Boston Red Sox	53c	283.01$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	963	49%472 W · 491 L	-39.3wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles	65c	281.01$182 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.06	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3508…39b5backed Boston Red Sox	27c	275$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Boston Red Sox	52c	270$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.4	80	35%28 W · 52 L	-10.5wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Boston Red Sox	52c	248.25$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.09	391	51.9%203 W · 188 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Boston Red Sox	52c	244.99$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.39	514	49.2%253 W · 261 L	-5.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Boston Red Sox	34c	243.68$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.85	1,379	50.6%698 W · 681 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 13.5Under won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-6.5)Boston Red Sox won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-7.5)Boston Red Sox won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event