TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xaa24…a75c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
512
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT16450.6%83 W · 81 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 164 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadian Open: Alexis Galarneau vs Vit Koprivabacked Alexis Galarneau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.71
Mallorca Championships: Nuno Borges vs Ethan Quinnbacked Ethan Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$178.18
Mallorca Championships: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$234.78
Mallorca Championships: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$174.98
Mallorca Championships: Damir Dzumhur vs Vit Koprivabacked Vit Kopriva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+90%+$98.98
Mallorca Championships: Adam Walton vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Terence Atmanebacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Grass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Linda Noskovabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)backed Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+64.8%+$129.51
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$86.67
Halle Open: Raphael Collignon vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Halle Open: Learner Tien vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
HSBC Championships: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Ferybacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
HSBC Championships: Ugo Humbert vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Halle Open: Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Donna Vekicbacked Katie Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Ajla Tomljanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritzbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$171.11
Showing 25 of 164 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$524Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$523.98
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$541.67
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Vinicius Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$204.23
UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kevin Borjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+445.5%+$294
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$420
UFC Fight Night: Allan Nascimento vs. Mitch Raposo (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Allan Nascimento · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Karol Rosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$448Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$447.95
UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Shane Collins (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Shane Collins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$154.55
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+381.5%+$1,702.07
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$326.32
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$520Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$520
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+144.1%+$1,152.68
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Kyle Daukaus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Diego Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Belal Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$760Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$760
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Brendan Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$490.32
Fight to Go the Distance?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bryce Mitchell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$269.32
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
O/U 1.5 Roundsbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$117.86
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT9652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+97.6%+$253.73
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$138.46
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$225.53
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$397.67
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$177.36
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.54
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$450Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+101.8%+$458.26
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$138.46
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$195.56
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$472
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+156.9%+$392.16
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT8757.5%50 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 87 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$163.64
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.15
San Diego Padres vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$181.05
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$170.37
Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$183.27
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Metsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$144.12
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$102.27
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$102.27
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$82.5
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$118.4
Showing 25 of 87 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$152.66
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$253
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$226.32
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Canada (-1.5)backed Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$269.67
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$216.67
Spread: Spain (-2.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$200
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$267.1
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+69.2%+$138.49
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$360
Hurricanes vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$150.88
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$311.11
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$312.24
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Stars vs. Wildbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.89
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$83.96
All 16 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$22.24
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$13.91
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$35.11
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$31.32
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Passion UA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.86
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.12
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.22
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
All 11 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+30.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.11
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.23
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.28
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.59
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$36.23
LoL: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.69
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.71
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+208.3%+$27.06
All 8 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Eagles (-3.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+63.9%+$48.08
Spread: Lions (-3.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$113.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.