CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x728b0ebbe8684e2fc710af2db8eacff62e5585c7c9e7b8118d762566b089e67c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $514,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $542,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $514,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 294 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed HOTU | 23c | 203,156$46,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,359.87 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 148,354$117,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,241.47 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 32,483$25,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,250.53 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f6…dbd1backed HOTU | 22c | 29,967$6,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,577.39 | 172 | 40.7%70 W · 102 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 24,994$19,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,498.62 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 16,473$13,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,388.17 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed HOTU | 17c | 14,910$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,481.46 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 14,300$11,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,003 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed HOTU | 6c | 14,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 13,623$10,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,842.37 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…34d9backed HOTU | 19c | 11,872$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.72 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed HOTU | 20c | 8,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,599.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked HOTU | 19c | 7,636$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.47 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked HOTU | 5c | 7,481$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.83 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d3…30abbacked HOTU | 17c | 7,464$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.57 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 7,424$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.72 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed HOTU | 2c | 7,183$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.71 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 7,011$5,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.55 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed HOTU | 6c | 6,224$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.47 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed HOTU | 6c | 6,065$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.68 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked HOTU | 21c | 5,522$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.55 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HOTU | 17c | 5,081$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.76 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 5,000$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked HOTU | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 3,970$3,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.7 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked HOTU | 22c | 3,967$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.14 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked HOTU | 20c | 3,499$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.78 | 183 | 41%75 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed HOTU | 4c | 3,421$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.39 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 3,354$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.85 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 3,162$2,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.18 | 123 | 28.5%35 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked HOTU | 9c | 2,891$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.01 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed HOTU | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 2,490$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.26 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 2,483$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.53 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed HOTU | 6c | 2,470$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed HOTU | 22c | 2,367$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.74 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…4dadbacked HOTU | 22c | 2,166$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed HOTU | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…9819backed HOTU | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 1,988$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.45 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6e…fa6fbacked HOTU | 21c | 1,804$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.58 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked HOTU | 6c | 1,625$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed HOTU | 12c | 1,537$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.99 | 217 | 23%50 W · 167 L | -35.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed HOTU | 9c | 1,524$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.06 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked HOTU | 21c | 1,501$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.36 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4632…193abacked HOTU | 2c | 1,455$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 1,400$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed HOTU | 20c | 1,320$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 1,229$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.8 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked HOTU | 11c | 1,181$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.62 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked HOTU | 21c | 1,134$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.15 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 1,116$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.92 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 1,077$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.46 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HOTU | 21c | 1,001$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.18 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 988$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.6 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x135f…528cbacked HOTU | 23c | 986.92$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.08 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…046fbacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 982.16$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed HOTU | 5c | 945.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed HOTU | 6c | 940.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…7487backed HOTU | 20c | 939.82$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.43 | 167 | 32.9%55 W · 112 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 933.03$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.27 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 900$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 866.11$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.22 | 238 | 58.4%139 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 722.99$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.79 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…cb10backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 715$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.3 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 690.76$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.97 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…44c3backed HOTU | 21c | 680.43$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.89 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d2ffbacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 674.93$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.74 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…8ec1backed HOTU | 4c | 667.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.71 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked HOTU | 22c | 667.24$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.79 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…ee90backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 665.67$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.13 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…6a47backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 624.94$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.24 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ee…e28cbacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 620.51$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.63 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 617.5$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0254…efdbbacked HOTU | 5c | 580.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked HOTU | 3c | 580.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 569.88$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.98 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…9d37backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 545.21$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 537.2$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.11 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf99…9840backed HOTU | 3c | 536.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 172 | 54.1%93 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…e12dbacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 529.57$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked HOTU | 22c | 522.72$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed HOTU | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed HOTU | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 342 | 35.4%121 W · 221 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed HOTU | 4c | 456.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9983…faf8backed HOTU | 3c | 409.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd99…c06cbacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 401.28$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf732…7c06backed HOTU | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked HOTU | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a1…2ccdbacked HOTU | 6c | 392.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 379.6$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 656 | 62.3%409 W · 247 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Aurora Gaming | 80c | 348.76$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 130 | 53.8%70 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 335.64$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 124 | 69.4%86 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked HOTU | 6c | 332.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…9bebbacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 323.87$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.01 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 61cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked HOTU | 5c | 306.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HOTU | 5c | 280.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.