CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14554126a90e7c85dfc18a9995ad8af19f3b91bc5f0cce887643748cbcf88b00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked HOTU | 21c | 50,000$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 38,797$30,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,048.08 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HOTU | 27c | 4,264$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.97 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 3,969$2,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.92 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed HOTU | 46c | 3,203$1,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.85 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed HOTU | 47c | 3,014$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.68 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed HOTU | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,439.97 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 2,845$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.06 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 2,797$2,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.34 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed HOTU | 20c | 2,729$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.57 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 1,801$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.34 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…1021backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 1,251$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 72cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 1,234$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.19 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 1,221$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.33 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked HOTU | 43c | 1,133$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.37 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad59…cb41backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 1,129$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked HOTU | 28c | 1,103$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.45 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed HOTU | 46c | 1,086$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.56 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed HOTU | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.68 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 1,003$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.93 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…95f8backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 994.3$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.87 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…9a67backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 986.38$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.6 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 859.14$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.39 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 832.38$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 820.1$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.82 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 576.95$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.16 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Aurora Gaming | 67c | 533.55$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…b153backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 503.57$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 493.7$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked HOTU | 49c | 493.1$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.37 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 464.69$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.03 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 428.9$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.22 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19be…2e91backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 407.3$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 394.96$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.94 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…046fbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed Aurora Gaming | 21c | 365.25$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.55 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 352.05$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.46 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bd7…55f5backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 336.32$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.52 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d13…a252backed HOTU | 23c | 325.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…9a6cbacked Aurora Gaming | 53c | 291.54$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.02 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked HOTU | 42c | 271.15$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.88 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 270.55$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.81 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 256.37$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.24 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 254.95$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 243.72$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 228.74$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.34 | 75 | 61.3%46 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed HOTU | 42c | 227.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HOTU | 32c | 223.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf035…0924backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 201.94$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 428 | 45.6%195 W · 233 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed HOTU | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 183.6$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.42 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 181.14$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.76 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…32f0backed Aurora Gaming | 57c | 179.46$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.17 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Aurora Gaming | 67c | 178.56$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 160.66$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.08 | 184 | 43.5%80 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd68d…1f62backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 150.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 254 | 46.1%117 W · 137 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 149.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…fdefbacked HOTU | 49c | 148.38$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.71 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3e…5329backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 146.22$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.41 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa775…ab33backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 140$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 195 | 54.4%106 W · 89 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00b2…f7a5backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 134.77$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 68cpaid | -50%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f26…c6a2backed HOTU | 45c | 131.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HOTU | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 119.18$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 164 | 57.9%95 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed HOTU | 48c | 111.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 102.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 97.18$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 635 | 41.1%261 W · 374 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked HOTU | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 148 | 20.3%30 W · 118 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa438…dd4dbacked HOTU | 22c | 95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 94.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 82.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.89 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Aurora Gaming | 50c | 82.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa825…2ef0backed HOTU | 49c | 81.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -8.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Aurora Gaming | 79c | 78.2$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…31a3backed HOTU | 48c | 78.18$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HOTU | 30c | 73.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 73.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.39 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed HOTU | 46c | 67.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcebd…2502backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 66.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed HOTU | 45c | 66.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d2…1fbfbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 58.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d48…f5a2backed HOTU | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +6.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked HOTU | 31c | 53.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…3222backed Aurora Gaming | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Aurora Gaming | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.8wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Aurora Gaming | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed HOTU | 60c | 48.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed HOTU | 50c | 48.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc7…9194backed HOTU | 49c | 40.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…bd68backed HOTU | 50c | 39.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdf…6498backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 38.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x866b…25acbacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 38.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1cc…ca51backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd742…9d26backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 36.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked HOTU | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…2e8bbacked Aurora Gaming | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Aurora Gaming | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.