CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf674411e75b925a2e198ee2c68e4ba0cfb9e501db9ddcff70ddbd0dba40d294c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 76c | 3,252$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.1 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 24c | 2,333$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.55 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Under | 61c | 1,859$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.27 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 39c | 1,388$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.41 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 36c | 1,236$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.54 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Under | 77c | 999.99$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 754 | 50.5%381 W · 373 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 37c | 825.24$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.71 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 39c | 739.47$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.16 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 23c | 609.2$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.12 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 59c | 514.63$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…4df4backed Over | 41c | 470.54$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 26c | 399.22$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.52 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 61c | 345.65$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.8 | 219 | 45.7%100 W · 119 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Over | 21c | 307.59$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.59 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 28c | 303.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 24c | 271.58$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.18 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2283…5fb1backed Under | 79c | 262.47$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 23c | 262.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.37 | 233 | 33%77 W · 156 L | -22.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 66c | 258.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.66 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 68c | 251.49$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.91 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 60c | 125.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 40c | 120.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 61c | 120.17$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 60c | 115$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Under | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 61c | 98.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…22e6backed Over | 23c | 95.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…517ebacked Under | 67c | 66.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Over | 39c | 64.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…e6fbbacked Under | 77c | 64.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 25c | 61.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Under | 51c | 60.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.47 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 33c | 54.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2b…02e8backed Under | 37c | 51.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Under | 61c | 48.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 49c | 44.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Under | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Under | 61c | 42.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdf…6498backed Under | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Over | 40c | 38.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…0134backed Over | 44c | 37.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…b470backed Over | 38c | 37.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Over | 40c | 36.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 41c | 35.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Under | 41c | 34.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…7dd5backed Over | 67c | 34.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.83 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…d09cbacked Under | 77c | 33.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 61c | 29.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5d…7235backed Under | 56c | 26.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…0bc3backed Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeba1…838bbacked Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Under | 61c | 22.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 159 | 65.4%104 W · 55 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Over | 51c | 20.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed Under | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…67f7backed Under | 71c | 15.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 47 | 74.5%35 W · 12 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Under | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs HOTU (+1.5)Aurora Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.