TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa02…8b07

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
747
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT49666.7%331 W · 165 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 496 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$77.78
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+51%+$25.52
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Counter-Strike: ECHO vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked ECHO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Butterfly (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.57
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen - Map 1 Winnerbacked Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,123Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$374.43
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-Young Ninjas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 4 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$937Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$448.27
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$741Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$213
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$150.11
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winnerbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FaZe Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.63
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs Imperial (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Fluxo W7M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+53.3%+$26.66
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ENJOY - Map 1 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$18.9
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerbacked HOTU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Falcons Force (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsbacked INOX Division · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+38.1%+$19.04
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+67.7%+$33.83
Showing 25 of 496 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT8068.8%55 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergsbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullinbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Busebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Toby Samuelbacked Zizou Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$166.1
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Rei Sakamotobacked Jaime Faria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Paul Jubbbacked Paul Jubb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Mallorca Championships: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mallorca Championships, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Antoine Ghibaudobacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Poznan: Michele Ribecai vs Henri Squirebacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galanbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Libema Open, Qualification: James McCabe vs Alexander Maarten Jongbacked James McCabe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$18.82
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$17.97
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Jakub Mensik vs. Andrey Rublev: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignonbacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$17.14
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21.54
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tienbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$57.13
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT6852.9%36 W · 32 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Valorant — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Gentle Mates GC vs Twisted Minds Orchid - Map 1 Winnerbacked Twisted Minds Orchid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$29.84
Valorant: BBL Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp - Map 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Team Vitality vs BBL Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Nongshim RedForce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Playoffsbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Mandatory vs Beşiktaş Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Abacked Mandatory · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$35.14
Valorant: X-CAST vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonbacked Gen.G Global Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$62.42
Valorant: YFT Esports vs Evil Geniuses Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Evil Geniuses Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Valorant: NRG Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+49.9%+$92.34
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black vs Pigeons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion Black · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$10.24
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 3 Winnerbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Valorant: NAVI Junior vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffsbacked NAVI Junior · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+107.2%+$32.16
Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked NRG Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+64.9%+$54.24
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.16
Valorant: Fnatic vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Valorant: AlQadsiah Esports vs WIP Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked WIP Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$31.13
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Valorant: Team Heretics vs BBL Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked BBL Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Valorant: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4540%18 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Dani Olmo: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$113.33
Alex Baena: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Fabián Ruiz: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jude Bellingham: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Anthony Gordon: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$106.36
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$77.14
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$128.57
Michael Olise: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Luis Díaz: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jhon Arias: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,217Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$473.38
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Leandro Trossard: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Jeremy Doku: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Charles De Ketelaere: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Harry Kane: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$17.23
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$49.15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$24.52
Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$28.97
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$11.98
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.9wins-0.36per pick63cpaid-62.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$23.53
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.16
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: GIANTX vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.82
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick70cpaid-60.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$28.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$33.42
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.