Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 3 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e114adca66b213c7d3e2cf113d992e21893d12912b3eb884cdd223257e3b05e

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: BBL Esportsof Natus Vincere, BBL Esports
Resolved: Jun 1, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $111,109
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $114,675

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $111,109 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Valorant
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed BBL Esports	56c	24,020$13,545 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,475.05	521	55.5%289 W · 232 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa39…bb64backed Natus Vincere	45c	17,860$7,967 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,966.78	40	67.5%27 W · 13 L	+5.9wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere	46c	4,735$2,164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,164.38	1,276	32.1%409 W · 867 L	-67.5wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed Natus Vincere	46c	4,138$1,912 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,911.93	257	52.1%134 W · 123 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…e409backed Natus Vincere	58c	3,921$2,272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,272.07	93	71%66 W · 27 L	+15.6wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+27.7%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Natus Vincere	52c	2,601$1,353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,352.61	190	46.3%88 W · 102 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Natus Vincere	46c	2,582$1,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,194.12	102	38.2%39 W · 63 L	-4.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Natus Vincere	47c	2,106$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	196	48.5%95 W · 101 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere	53c	1,917$1,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,008.74	1,358	39%530 W · 828 L	-57.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-17%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed BBL Esports	58c	1,496$865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.63	517	49.5%256 W · 261 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed BBL Esports	58c	1,362$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$571.76	547	51.2%280 W · 267 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Natus Vincere	45c	1,338$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600.26	409	44.3%181 W · 228 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd525…1815backed Natus Vincere	50c	1,206$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.02	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.10per pick	42cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed BBL Esports	52c	999.99$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.99	108	42.6%46 W · 62 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Natus Vincere	44c	999.98$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.99	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Natus Vincere	51c	937.87$478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$478.31	192	40.1%77 W · 115 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Natus Vincere	47c	876.2$409 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$408.9	1,601	37.5%600 W · 1,001 L	-75.0wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33d3…bf38backed Natus Vincere	44c	754.14$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.82	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Natus Vincere	43c	730$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.58	998	46%459 W · 539 L	-27.0wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Natus Vincere	46c	666.73$307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$307.37	74	55.4%41 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked Natus Vincere	40c	599.99$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+5.7wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Natus Vincere	51c	554.43$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.48	425	40.5%172 W · 253 L	-22.7wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BBL Esports	57c	544.9$312 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$233.19	1,309	43.8%573 W · 736 L	-44.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeebb…0b96backed Natus Vincere	49c	540.93$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.57	149	41.6%62 W · 87 L	-6.4wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Natus Vincere	54c	509.81$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.99	240	32.1%77 W · 163 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc0d4…0289backed Natus Vincere	45c	439.73$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Natus Vincere	53c	358$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.54	73	56.2%41 W · 32 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Natus Vincere	61c	354.14$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.03	621	56.4%350 W · 271 L	+13.0wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe666…2885backed BBL Esports	47c	337.7$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.46	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Natus Vincere	40c	336$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.73	103	41.7%43 W · 60 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere	46c	321.27$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.33	1,746	46.2%806 W · 940 L	-3.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Natus Vincere	57c	319.43$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$183.49	452	50%226 W · 226 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd766…24e6backed BBL Esports	68c	296.18$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.18	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	56cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed Natus Vincere	48c	275.47$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.57	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c62…5805backed Natus Vincere	43c	231.62$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.43per pick	43cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Natus Vincere	9c	215.11$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.28	407	31.7%129 W · 278 L	-13.1wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9106…613bbacked BBL Esports	53c	170.38$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.41	40	62.5%25 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	58cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x656e…9339backed BBL Esports	52c	165$86 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.75	194	39.2%76 W · 118 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked BBL Esports	39c	154.36$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.36	628	56.4%354 W · 274 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x749f…6be1backed Natus Vincere	39c	133.67$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.13	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed Natus Vincere	43c	130.85$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.62	160	33.8%54 W · 106 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Natus Vincere	48c	126$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.48	1,247	49.6%619 W · 628 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe32a…cd33backed BBL Esports	54c	100$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46	430	59.8%257 W · 173 L	+12.4wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed BBL Esports	61c	92.58$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.11	1,490	46.6%695 W · 795 L	-16.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BBL Esports	54c	89.12$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.34	1,608	45.2%727 W · 881 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ee8…7406backed Natus Vincere	43c	89$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.26	225	42.7%96 W · 129 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked BBL Esports	77c	87.76$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.5	121	55.4%67 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba23…cd7ebacked BBL Esports	56c	85$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.55	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35ae…b929backed Natus Vincere	18c	82.58$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	144	43.1%62 W · 82 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Natus Vincere	60c	81$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.6	89	42.7%38 W · 51 L	-13.0wins	-0.15per pick	57cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Natus Vincere	46c	76.9$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.37	534	42.1%225 W · 309 L	-15.0wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Natus Vincere	44c	70.98$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.23	907	33.1%300 W · 607 L	-89.7wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x171b…9c6fbacked Natus Vincere	40c	65.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.69	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.23per pick	52cpaid	+40.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc347…8ee3backed Natus Vincere	59c	63$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.17	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+52.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe22f…49b1backed Natus Vincere	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Natus Vincere	37c	58.12$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.47	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed BBL Esports	54c	55.56$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.56	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	-5.6wins	-0.08per pick	61cpaid	-11%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked BBL Esports	54c	53.22$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.31	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4efc…2d8dbacked BBL Esports	57c	51.57$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.19	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd164…5679backed Natus Vincere	51c	49.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab87…117ebacked Natus Vincere	55c	47.27$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Natus Vincere	48c	45$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.67	385	48.6%187 W · 198 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d12…f251backed Natus Vincere	54c	40.51$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.07	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-59.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Natus Vincere	49c	34$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	147	50.3%74 W · 73 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa658…f93ebacked Natus Vincere	60c	33.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	273	60.1%164 W · 109 L	-10.7wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36c9…c678backed BBL Esports	52c	32.95$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.95	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcc…0d8abacked Natus Vincere	45c	32$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.4	152	17.8%27 W · 125 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f65…d822backed Natus Vincere	39c	30.77$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	84	51.2%43 W · 41 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Natus Vincere	53c	30.22$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Natus Vincere	41c	26.7$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.82	204	39.2%80 W · 124 L	-18.6wins	-0.09per pick	48cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb03b…4197backed Natus Vincere	48c	26.5$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.72	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa060…0747backed Natus Vincere	44c	25$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dbd…ed07backed BBL Esports	56c	21.85$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.63	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 3 Winnerthis page
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2BBL Esports won
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 1 WinnerBBL Esports won
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 2 WinnerBBL Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 3 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event