Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73b82fa55fcb9c75afc1f68fa5de383b687dc003a04a0cd3861f9c563fb01ce0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BBL Esportsof Natus Vincere, BBL Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 11,000$5,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,196.72 | 521 | 55.5%289 W · 232 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked BBL Esports | 50c | 7,685$3,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,842.34 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed BBL Esports | 76c | 5,028$3,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.27 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,456$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.54 | 409 | 44.3%181 W · 228 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Natus Vincere | 13c | 1,625$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.27 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked BBL Esports | 62c | 1,584$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 1,500$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.99 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 1,442$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed BBL Esports | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.16 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed BBL Esports | 52c | 1,262$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.68 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 875$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 816.17$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.99 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Natus Vincere | 57c | 793.31$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.84 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddd…1ad3backed Natus Vincere | 58c | 750$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 705.19$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BBL Esports | 69c | 673.04$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.96 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Natus Vincere | 66c | 604$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.28 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Natus Vincere | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd766…24e6backed BBL Esports | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BBL Esports | 73c | 393.2$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.6 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed BBL Esports | 47c | 390.35$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.69 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4191…239fbacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 353.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 348$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.04 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b24…ba5cbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 334.89$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Natus Vincere | 48c | 320$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked BBL Esports | 80c | 306.99$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 278.4$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 517 | 49.5%256 W · 261 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 271.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.53 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed BBL Esports | 50c | 211$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.5 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed BBL Esports | 63c | 176.34$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.66 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed Natus Vincere | 53c | 155.55$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.44 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4618…5a9fbacked Natus Vincere | 26c | 140.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed BBL Esports | 52c | 119.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…0118backed Natus Vincere | 63c | 110.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f50…e12bbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…2becbacked Natus Vincere | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Natus Vincere | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -13.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Natus Vincere | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…fdbbbacked BBL Esports | 49c | 99.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed BBL Esports | 48c | 74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.78 | 160 | 33.8%54 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ceb…e35abacked BBL Esports | 68c | 72.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed BBL Esports | 49c | 72.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -25%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked BBL Esports | 80c | 69.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc841…3d09backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 47.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac38…5534backed Natus Vincere | 26c | 47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked BBL Esports | 65c | 44.39$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Natus Vincere | 54c | 41.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x171b…9c6fbacked BBL Esports | 79c | 33.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…d96bbacked Natus Vincere | 51c | 26.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed BBL Esports | 71c | 24.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked BBL Esports | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2BBL Esports won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 1 WinnerBBL Esports won
- Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 3 WinnerBBL Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.