TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xdca1…d96b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT3438.2%13 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.41
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.8
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.66
Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.46
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.15
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.28
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+300%+$34.02
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.43
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$232.3
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.27
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will Morocco vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.46
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.72
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Cyprus win on 2026-06-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.79
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$15.83
Will United States vs. Germany end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.69
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.81
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.66
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.79
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.56
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.84
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+203%+$21.99
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.39
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.82
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Iran closes its airspace by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Iran closes its airspace by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Iran closes its airspace by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$22.19
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+900%+$106.96
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$10.03
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$30.76
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.97
US strikes Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$3.85
Will Khamenei tweet again on March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$40.32
All 18 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE - Map 1 Winnerbacked FULL SENSE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$8.86
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+89.3%+$31.45
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stagebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Valorant: SwimTrek Blue vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Changers North America Playoffsbacked SwimTrek Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$9.73
Valorant: Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stagebacked Alliance Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$17.43
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.12
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs BBL Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.45
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Nova Esports - Map 4 Winnerbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.72
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Nova Esports (BO5) - China Evolution Series Act 2 Playoffsbacked TEC Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.14
Valorant: Global Esports vs Nongshim RedForce (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2backed Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$13.26
Valorant: UCAM Esports Club vs WIP Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Group Cbacked WIP Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.37
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+68.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Asuncion 2: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Nick Hardtbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Parma: Laslo Djere vs Ryan Seggermanbacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.79
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritzbacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutetbacked Nick Kyrgios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$23.52
Stuttgart Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Aleksandar Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.51
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.3
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$132.31
Geneva Open: Mariano Navone vs Jaume Munarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.13
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-60.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Abacked E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.56
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Abacked HMBLE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.16
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs GOAL (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-Inbacked GOAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$14.38
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.08
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.82
All 9 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick75cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick74cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$10.56
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.12
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$11.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$13.75
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$14.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$10.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$14.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paderborn vs. Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 16 above $152?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.