Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25d3974409fa2c99f428b0ffa73b1363830892813bae2eacc5bc53fe5028525e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REKONIXof Execration, REKONIX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked REKONIX | 76c | 1,500$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Execration | 17c | 1,474$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.5 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Execration | 33c | 1,105$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.71 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Execration | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 291 | 43.6%127 W · 164 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Execration | 32c | 782.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.4 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked REKONIX | 69c | 758.74$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked REKONIX | 69c | 740$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Execration | 11c | 705.26$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Execration | 30c | 649.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.5 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Execration | 17c | 576.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…13c4backed REKONIX | 69c | 572.57$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.5 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Execration | 32c | 515.89$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.36 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked REKONIX | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Execration | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa941…dc9ebacked REKONIX | 68c | 483.13$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked REKONIX | 72c | 440.49$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.98 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked REKONIX | 76c | 366.77$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed REKONIX | 68c | 355.48$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed REKONIX | 67c | 352.63$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.64 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Execration | 31c | 346.87$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.42 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…0b96backed Execration | 32c | 339.33$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked REKONIX | 72c | 335.08$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f16…553dbacked Execration | 33c | 328.71$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Execration | 10c | 322.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f31…a362backed Execration | 32c | 317.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddec…8925backed Execration | 23c | 279.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe7…ca35backed REKONIX | 72c | 271.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed REKONIX | 76c | 250$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 95 | 65.3%62 W · 33 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed REKONIX | 70c | 250$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Execration | 13c | 246.68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Execration | 26c | 245.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.47 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Execration | 32c | 221.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked REKONIX | 67c | 213.3$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed REKONIX | 67c | 207.58$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.5 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Execration | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Execration | 33c | 196.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…00abbacked Execration | 29c | 168.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Execration | 23c | 157.35$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +134.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…0a49backed Execration | 34c | 156.8$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe187…a69cbacked REKONIX | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af5…4bbabacked Execration | 12c | 140.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Execration | 17c | 135.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e1…7da8backed Execration | 29c | 134.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Execration | 27c | 126.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa75b…ea01backed Execration | 16c | 117.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…2e20backed Execration | 24c | 111.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Execration | 16c | 107.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Execration | 37c | 102.53$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed REKONIX | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x422d…7e39backed Execration | 16c | 87.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Execration | 25c | 74.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked REKONIX | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 134 | 35.8%48 W · 86 L | -9.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…e5dfbacked REKONIX | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2afa…a29ebacked Execration | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Execration | 24c | 63.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -8.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked REKONIX | 61c | 56.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Execration | 31c | 56.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c0…d689backed Execration | 28c | 53.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad6…c1c4backed Execration | 30c | 51.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed REKONIX | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Execration | 22c | 45.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed REKONIX | 69c | 43.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REKONIX | 71c | 40.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e19…539abacked REKONIX | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Execration | 30c | 36.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 137 | 33.6%46 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01fc…6972backed REKONIX | 72c | 28.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e76…dd6bbacked REKONIX | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…d7fabacked REKONIX | 75c | 20.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…d96bbacked REKONIX | 70c | 18.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked REKONIX | 68c | 17.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed REKONIX | 68c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX - Game 1 WinnerREKONIX won
- Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX - Game 2 WinnerREKONIX won
- Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Execration (+1.5)REKONIX won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.