TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3fe7…ca35

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
124
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT5257.7%30 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.95
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked SK Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.63
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$67.35
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO5) - LCP Group Stagebacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.02
LoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.29
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.61
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.48
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.7
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$245.19
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$492.04
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$53.47
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$410.05
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$190.41
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$237.86
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.69
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.99
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$536.86
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.62
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.87
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy (BO5) - Asia Masters Playoffsbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$118.98
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.81
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$71.28
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$105.56
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$34.08
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$190.35
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$285.58
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.58
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Asian Qualifier Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.03
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.6
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+150%+$367.14
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$215.63
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs The Last Resort (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Group Bbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$141.19
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$36.79
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.01
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.23
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked AM Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.22
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$76.78
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.31
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.79
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.64
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.77
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Ursa (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$60.12
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$32.75
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$97.5
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$90.06
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$26.47
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.59
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.86
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$57.93
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group Bbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.67
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$273Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$153.29
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$35.57
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Inner Circle (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$53.7
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Dota 2: GLYPH vs REKONIX (BO5) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$173.08
Dota 2: Execration vs REKONIX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+38%+$74.64
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.59
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$95.6
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$92.56
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.35
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$247Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$247.44
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.69
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Ilbirs eSports (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Ilbirs eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$38.6
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+67.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$296.08
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.68
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$46.61
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$33.72
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$20.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kraken vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$87.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 12, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chargers vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$276.94
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.