TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Sharks, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$958,626
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$981,851

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $958,626 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 610 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Sharks28c23,504$6,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,922.6533343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…12babacked FURIA77c23,487$18,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,050.243129%9 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Sharks35c21,494$7,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,970.1419229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Sharks19c20,094$3,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,300.5875450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Sharks43c20,044$8,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,406.6217062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Sharks38c19,916$7,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,292.8322943.7%100 W · 129 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf892…8acbbacked FURIA63c19,402$12,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,178.851936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Sharks18c15,964$2,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,116.6930340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Sharks35c15,672$5,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,239.1841040%164 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea7e…f207backed Sharks25c13,692$3,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,269.283339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FURIA45c11,444$5,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,174.961,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Sharks44c11,364$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,363.6419055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks15c11,000$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,309.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed FURIA72c10,782$7,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,762.7725355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Sharks15c10,238$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,702.0722354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked FURIA59c10,000$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,899.9976058%441 W · 319 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed FURIA70c9,750$6,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,857.4542142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Sharks41c9,421$3,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,530.0421655.1%119 W · 97 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf377…4159backed Sharks38c9,096$3,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,669.675240.4%21 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Sharks29c9,029$2,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,369.4366851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked Sharks43c8,422$3,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,799.7224943.8%109 W · 140 L-1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Sharks19c8,375$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,822.991,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0e6…23c2backed FURIA65c8,297$5,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,404.175563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Sharks26c7,500$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,549.991,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed FURIA70c7,157$5,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,034.8946149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked FURIA56c7,103$4,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,011.711,25646.7%587 W · 669 L+17.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked FURIA57c6,666$3,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,799.6292456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Sharks25c6,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,48023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed FURIA56c6,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.9978639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8b5abacked FURIA66c5,878$3,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,862.251428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Sharks32c5,851$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,951.1916946.7%79 W · 90 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Sharks17c5,673$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,707.3526045%117 W · 143 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked FURIA72c5,459$3,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,930.4536152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Sharks42c5,406$2,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,135.461764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86df…d902backed Sharks33c5,250$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,533.916271%44 W · 18 L+12.9wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+38.2%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Sharks15c5,250$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,467.491,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6e…b5bcbacked FURIA57c5,248$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89cf…5f47backed FURIA56c5,190$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900.172642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed FURIA63c5,067$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,185.9137946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26f8…3452backed FURIA54c5,046$2,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,721.4119949.7%99 W · 100 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed FURIA56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed FURIA59c4,909$2,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,906.7887047.9%417 W · 453 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4fe…c916backed FURIA57c4,790$2,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,712.711668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed FURIA66c4,742$3,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,144.232,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked Sharks16c4,587$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,852.7422449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1982…be15backed FURIA73c4,586$3,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,345.083154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0562…18a4backed FURIA55c4,545$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50020448.5%99 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Sharks45c4,500$2,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.9713646.3%63 W · 73 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Sharks44c4,343$1,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,432.075459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed FURIA58c4,141$2,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.0910150.5%51 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5674…8b14backed Sharks21c4,043$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,193.0136742.8%157 W · 210 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Sharks28c4,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.0126952.8%142 W · 127 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed FURIA63c3,927$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,469.3713548.9%66 W · 69 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xabf4…43f7backed Sharks32c3,886$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,655.74757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e4…8d31backed FURIA66c3,658$2,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.961428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-43.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x571d…4e76backed FURIA56c3,550$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.381526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-48.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FURIA30c3,491$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.942,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Sharks29c3,413$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,423.3221424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Sharks42c3,356$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,930.4543152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x60cb…3d72backed FURIA57c3,352$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.74812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick54cpaid-80%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x07c2…b18dbacked Sharks16c3,317$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,790.252138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x177e…c244backed FURIA42c3,300$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.9916633.7%56 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed FURIA73c3,250$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,37013142%55 W · 76 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e2…4af2backed Sharks38c3,130$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,945.352650%13 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Sharks22c3,032$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,362.371,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked FURIA75c3,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,25011546.1%53 W · 62 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked FURIA57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71043951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Sharks15c3,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55015838%60 W · 98 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17fe…b0cabacked Sharks29c2,994$861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.2615838%60 W · 98 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed FURIA40c2,943$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,182.025,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed Sharks17c2,777$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.159335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed FURIA54c2,750$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4852,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc57…2b3cbacked Sharks30c2,667$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.6714659.6%87 W · 59 L+8.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FURIA69c2,598$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.032,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4533…0adcbacked Sharks29c2,590$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.794949%24 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Sharks23c2,381$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.1564552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sharks41c2,346$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.7381843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda03…fa78backed Sharks16c2,335$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,961.811353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+78.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x96f7…d6aebacked FURIA48c2,222$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.5622129.9%66 W · 155 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked FURIA55c2,200$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.794647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a8…6427backed Sharks27c2,200$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,595.046756.7%38 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Sharks16c2,100$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7645,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb7…1dd0backed Sharks38c2,087$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,287.195100%5 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+166.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Sharks17c2,059$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,708.8252636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Sharks29c2,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,42075245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff5…6afbbacked FURIA58c2,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1603125.8%8 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick42cpaid-45.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed FURIA56c2,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9960248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Sharks21c2,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.9737145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Sharks17c2,000$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.2555845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c5…73cbbacked Sharks17c1,970$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.244228.6%12 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a14…cba2backed Sharks23c1,970$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,516.892532%8 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA56c1,886$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.71,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked FURIA50c1,853$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.163,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed Sharks29c1,836$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,303.365836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc790…cbd2backed Sharks27c1,822$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.151838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FURIA28c1,815$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.831,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked FURIA51c1,798$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9251931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4c13…71a1backed Sharks34c1,765$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.713545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0645…a8a7backed Sharks15c1,706$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,449.824632.6%15 W · 31 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Sharks34c1,702$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,122.2112451.6%64 W · 60 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.