TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9c5…73cb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT4228.6%12 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.68
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.95
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.44
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$99.63
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.46
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TheMongolz (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$401
Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked JiJieHao · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$201
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs paiN (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winnerbacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+184.3%+$184.26
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$626.57
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+150%+$163.5
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+449.5%+$898.93
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Astralis (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12backed Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$101
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NADE (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 11backed NADE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$103
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$211
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 9INE - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.44
Map Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Lilmix (+1.5)backed Lilmix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.77
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$1,489.09
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$709.13
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$3,237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,236.69
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$440.9
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.76
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.25
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$238.39
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$222.28
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$200.01
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$372.36
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$678Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$678.07
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$701Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$700.93
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$499Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.66
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advancebacked Austria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$204
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancebacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$1,151.66
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$309Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$309.2
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick25cpaid+108.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: NS.EA (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers Challengers (+1.5)backed Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.67
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$494.13
LoL: LNG Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$332
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,308Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,307.7
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$1,357.84
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+525%+$1,051.58
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$878.72
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$752.38
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$388.24
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$800
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win MSI 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.22
All 13 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.