TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexander Zverevof Arthur Fery, Alexander Zverev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,035,123
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,932,733

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,035,123 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4be1…aa70backed Arthur Fery14c2,373,796$330,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330,337.1810246.1%47 W · 55 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Arthur Fery6c239,618$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00075640.1%303 W · 453 L+0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f3f…8517backed Arthur Fery13c153,022$19,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,893.46540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf924…a0ccbacked Arthur Fery15c116,371$17,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,070.691926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-48%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Arthur Fery12c89,789$10,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,936.321,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Arthur Fery14c68,300$9,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,562.0776546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Arthur Fery0c66,368$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7214243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Arthur Fery14c50,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.9915952.2%83 W · 76 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Arthur Fery13c47,010$6,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,111.271136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41cf…6002backed Arthur Fery3c39,891$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.574515.6%7 W · 38 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf764…61e6backed Arthur Fery6c35,369$2,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,109.0923723.6%56 W · 181 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x749e…1090backed Arthur Fery14c34,058$4,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,768.149935.4%35 W · 64 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Arthur Fery11c32,928$3,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,773.224841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Arthur Fery12c30,961$3,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,664.814,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Arthur Fery16c30,079$4,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,812.5618246.2%84 W · 98 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Arthur Fery15c30,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,500922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-66%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Arthur Fery13c30,000$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90058139.9%232 W · 349 L+0.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Arthur Fery14c27,850$3,806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,805.6717931.8%57 W · 122 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Arthur Fery13c26,388$3,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,430.3956651.8%293 W · 273 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Arthur Fery1c26,082$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.4447639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Arthur Fery14c24,107$3,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,374.981,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde76…7d17backed Arthur Fery14c22,000$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,08012552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Arthur Fery6c21,480$1,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.841,2078%96 W · 1,111 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Arthur Fery13c20,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60011343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fab…232fbacked Arthur Fery14c20,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-63.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Arthur Fery1c17,227$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10072129.7%214 W · 507 L-41.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Arthur Fery9c16,672$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,480.392544%11 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Arthur Fery13c14,997$1,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,965.053,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ace…c46ebacked Arthur Fery2c14,225$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.2128221.6%61 W · 221 L+0.6wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arthur Fery13c13,390$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.268,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Arthur Fery14c12,910$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,807.4114750.3%74 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69c5…1e01backed Arthur Fery16c12,500$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Arthur Fery14c12,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6802,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Arthur Fery9c11,849$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,075.295,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Arthur Fery14c10,872$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.2733234%113 W · 219 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Arthur Fery14c10,373$1,431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,430.951,40442.8%601 W · 803 L-31.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Arthur Fery14c10,342$1,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,414.322,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0537…e9dcbacked Arthur Fery12c10,328$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24014246.5%66 W · 76 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Arthur Fery15c10,252$1,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.8662752%326 W · 301 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8907…76dfbacked Arthur Fery7c10,041$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Arthur Fery13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3003050%15 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60df…a69ebacked Arthur Fery11c10,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7578…ef37backed Arthur Fery15c9,455$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-54.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd169…8ff6backed Arthur Fery7c9,275$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.4628437.3%106 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Arthur Fery14c9,139$1,279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.4313025.4%33 W · 97 L-13.6wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-28%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Arthur Fery7c8,088$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.165332.1%17 W · 36 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Arthur Fery14c8,027$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.842,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Arthur Fery3c8,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005933.9%20 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f90…90ccbacked Arthur Fery13c7,692$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Arthur Fery14c7,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.0345036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Arthur Fery15c7,500$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1254,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb826…635abacked Arthur Fery14c7,200$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.992544%11 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xebb9…1d15backed Arthur Fery14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008345.8%38 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4064…5f1ebacked Arthur Fery16c6,835$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,093.5928039.3%110 W · 170 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3705…9677backed Arthur Fery14c6,832$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.4213029.2%38 W · 92 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Arthur Fery1c6,652$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4460%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Arthur Fery2c6,650$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.824643.9%108 W · 138 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b5d…7501backed Arthur Fery14c6,591$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.712657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Arthur Fery12c6,417$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.266,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Arthur Fery15c6,389$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.41,15841.4%479 W · 679 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Arthur Fery13c5,700$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.995,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Arthur Fery1c5,599$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4853539.3%210 W · 325 L+37.2wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfa9a…099fbacked Arthur Fery4c5,381$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2174427.3%12 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick21cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Arthur Fery13c5,104$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.634,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Arthur Fery14c5,000$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.4133346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Arthur Fery14c5,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7001,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe024…0762backed Arthur Fery15c5,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7401163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Arthur Fery13c4,801$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.0818315.8%29 W · 154 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5630…de7fbacked Arthur Fery3c4,694$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Arthur Fery14c4,670$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6501,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Arthur Fery13c4,526$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.82,20436.9%813 W · 1,391 L+39.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1a…30d8backed Arthur Fery4c4,520$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Arthur Fery13c4,510$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.7778536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Arthur Fery2c4,439$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4690%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Arthur Fery13c4,409$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593.825,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c6c…5013backed Arthur Fery2c4,355$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Arthur Fery14c4,284$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.811,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c7d…83edbacked Arthur Fery2c4,160$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.045135.3%18 W · 33 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed Arthur Fery14c4,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77f1…91bdbacked Arthur Fery8c3,761$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.81816.7%3 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-48%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Arthur Fery14c3,750$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52542841.6%178 W · 250 L+9.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45e4…3c69backed Arthur Fery4c3,608$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037144.5%165 W · 206 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd344…6862backed Arthur Fery14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick39cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5dc5…4e9fbacked Arthur Fery14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Arthur Fery14c3,571$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3db5…f6ddbacked Arthur Fery15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f9…a28cbacked Arthur Fery15c3,317$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.546033.3%20 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa492…d264backed Arthur Fery14c3,300$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Arthur Fery11c3,251$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.12,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf54…3386backed Arthur Fery14c2,883$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.62633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-49.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c5d…6fcabacked Arthur Fery14c2,857$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15e9…939ebacked Arthur Fery14c2,857$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4008936%32 W · 57 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c5…73cbbacked Arthur Fery15c2,667$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05d9…ecd7backed Arthur Fery16c2,633$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.223633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafac…8730backed Arthur Fery15c2,533$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38024631.3%77 W · 169 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…3633backed Arthur Fery13c2,467$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.7399649.5%493 W · 503 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fff…9b0abacked Arthur Fery5c2,400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12070%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Arthur Fery13c2,330$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.9656927.2%155 W · 414 L+22.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Arthur Fery13c2,308$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006735.8%24 W · 43 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6afe…65d9backed Arthur Fery13c2,222$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.8530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.