TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Under 3.5of Over 3.5, Under 3.5
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,387
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,387 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2f90…90ccbacked Over 3.550c10,001$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003951.3%20 W · 19 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under 3.550c9,557$4,778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,778.3958232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Under 3.551c1,266$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$620.5530339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Over 3.549c1,015$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.327739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Under 3.552c999.96$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9813559.3%80 W · 55 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under 3.550c987.02$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.142,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b1…83a0backed Under 3.551c980.37$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.383964.1%25 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under 3.550c845.6$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.810751.4%55 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked Over 3.513c764.82$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.431338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Over 3.549c757.14$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3711,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f16…701dbacked Over 3.554c741.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007938%30 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under 3.554c724.27$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.0713852.2%72 W · 66 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under 3.546c691.67$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.51,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under 3.551c512.45$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.467,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9709…52abbacked Over 3.573c506.84$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.435749.1%28 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over 3.548c462.25$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.88650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa678…bc50backed Under 3.527c450.14$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.62352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+312.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c9…6686backed Over 3.548c445.54$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.861,33746%615 W · 722 L+23.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over 3.517c444.22$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.121,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over 3.541c439.63$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.39,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf131…69cabacked Over 3.550c431.86$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-52.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…2909backed Over 3.551c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045437%20 W · 34 L-8.6wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over 3.547c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.474,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97a1…d1eebacked Under 3.553c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.3623047.4%109 W · 121 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Over 3.548c377.15$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.031,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Over 3.550c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506852.9%36 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Under 3.576c290.16$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.316841.2%28 W · 40 L-8.1wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-31.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over 3.517c270.91$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.512,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under 3.552c266.21$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.788243.9%36 W · 46 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa995…3d50backed Over 3.550c230.66$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.332751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Under 3.549c213.66$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.0825950.2%130 W · 129 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x983f…eb31backed Over 3.549c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001233.3%4 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-45.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Over 3.550c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004957.1%28 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d3…6b98backed Over 3.549c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982850%14 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf332…eb53backed Over 3.550c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Over 3.549c199.98$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9912439.5%49 W · 75 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x417f…d9a9backed Over 3.550c198.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over 3.550c194.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.022,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6a8…b1f7backed Over 3.550c194.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0228738.3%110 W · 177 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc217…8701backed Under 3.552c190.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.633060%18 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98bd…8a55backed Over 3.556c142.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.778845.5%40 W · 48 L-9.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1861…408dbacked Over 3.550c135.47$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7344851.6%231 W · 217 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe474…0200backed Over 3.549c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507851.3%40 W · 38 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf10…d72fbacked Over 3.549c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over 3.549c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4938947.3%184 W · 205 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Under 3.549c99.98$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9911253.6%60 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Over 3.520c99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.865942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f9…3dcabacked Under 3.559c98.77$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.089643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Under 3.552c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1534637.9%131 W · 215 L+0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec4…8bc9backed Over 3.549c94$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.06520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.43per pick63cpaid-73.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x52ab…ecebbacked Over 3.549c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407354.8%40 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b57…263ebacked Over 3.520c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-40.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under 3.552c71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.0833550.1%168 W · 167 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Under 3.551c62.94$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8490152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Over 3.548c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3065434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa802…4575backed Over 3.550c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309642.7%41 W · 55 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under 3.547c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.23,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8cb…b294backed Over 3.549c51.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under 3.575c51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.754658.7%27 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Over 3.549c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.510448.1%50 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8daa…ca69backed Over 3.550c43.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick54cpaid-40.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd59b…5c85backed Under 3.571c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.252347.8%11 W · 12 L-4.6wins-0.20per pick68cpaid-31.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x23fe…0b95backed Over 3.549c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-67.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3da3…a83dbacked Over 3.543c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-48.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2c5…c8ddbacked Over 3.549c39.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.53933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb37b…ac33backed Under 3.552c37.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.873100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x880b…90a8backed Over 3.555c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016553.9%89 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc29…b3b6backed Over 3.549c35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.15650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6469…b890backed Under 3.573c32.88$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.88366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e9…9324backed Over 3.550c31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x24a4…cf87backed Over 3.556c30.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.832441.7%10 W · 14 L-4.9wins-0.20per pick62cpaid-36.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Under 3.550c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd33a…a409backed Under 3.550c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Under 3.549c29.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5af…facbbacked Over 3.570c29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.32365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+62.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Over 3.555c27.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.99351.6%48 W · 45 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d97…9283backed Over 3.550c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107963.3%50 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Under 3.550c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1093557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.