Tennis · resolved market
Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7abd8d66a94605b6e144e800edd9fc99cd403eb0084a64195c0129765686b081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 65c | 8,990$5,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,153.42 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 35c | 8,832$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.07 | 323 | 33.7%109 W · 214 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…bc50backed Over | 3c | 1,903$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.08 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 34c | 739.65$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.1 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Over | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb775…36f5backed Under | 67c | 299.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.08 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 55c | 190.6$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.94 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…5bc2backed Over | 7c | 158.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 35c | 114.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08e3…328dbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…2f81backed Under | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 48c | 99.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9678backed Under | 72c | 89.13$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 80c | 63.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…ad3abacked Under | 66c | 57.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 242 | 59.9%145 W · 97 L | -12.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c3…ef9fbacked Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Under | 65c | 42.83$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 291 | 47.8%139 W · 152 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 66c | 41.34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 65c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 39c | 32.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 718 | 57.7%414 W · 304 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf767…ebb1backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Under | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 188 | 55.3%104 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74a…25a2backed Under | 70c | 15.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Under | 76c | 14.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5this page
- Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Fery vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Fery vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Fery vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)Zverev won
- Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.