Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Fery vs Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfed5f36ac3124b919521aebdfb1d9b9b4e9af462c7220ae0f920af829ec1ca0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Fery, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Zverev | 79c | 15,478$12,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,251.16 | 76 | 72.4%55 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fery | 20c | 5,872$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.42 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked Fery | 26c | 3,676$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.72 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Zverev | 74c | 1,499$1,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.95 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Fery | 21c | 1,440$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Fery | 20c | 1,402$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.4 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fery | 22c | 613$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.96 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Fery | 21c | 593$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fery | 21c | 580.28$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.69 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Fery | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…7cdbbacked Fery | 24c | 421.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Fery | 20c | 252.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Fery | 21c | 251$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.58 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Fery | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,417 | 45.2%640 W · 777 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Fery | 20c | 202$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Fery | 22c | 196.05$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Fery | 22c | 170$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 854 | 49.6%424 W · 430 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Fery | 17c | 159.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.53 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa313…eb44backed Zverev | 73c | 136$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Fery | 20c | 125.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.12 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Fery | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Fery | 22c | 115.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…d80ebacked Zverev | 77c | 90.97$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 71cpaid | -49%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Fery | 29c | 56.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Fery | 20c | 56.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Zverev | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…e64abacked Fery | 20c | 52.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Fery | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Zverev | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Fery vs Zverevthis page
- Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5Under won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Fery vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Fery vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)Zverev won
- Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.