Tennis · resolved market
Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3452030e33bc4034698c7d2b2801867e5625060451362ca6d790c960d5b511fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,762
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,762 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 49c | 2,054$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001 | 572 | 49.5%283 W · 289 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 48c | 1,696$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.85 | 311 | 33.8%105 W · 206 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over | 48c | 1,650$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.98 | 743 | 43.7%325 W · 418 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed Over | 3c | 1,333$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Under | 52c | 1,269$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.12 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Under | 52c | 1,041$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.57 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Over | 49c | 973.59$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.06 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5f…dcdebacked Under | 52c | 958.13$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 47c | 957.61$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.31 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f16…701dbacked Under | 53c | 940.73$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.73 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 52c | 849.65$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.83 | 651 | 49.2%320 W · 331 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 52c | 808$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.84 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Under | 52c | 633.97$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.31 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Over | 7c | 532.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 259 | 55.2%143 W · 116 L | +36.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xabea…72aebacked Under | 53c | 528.3$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 501 | 47.7%239 W · 262 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…7566backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…eb31backed Over | 50c | 220.2$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 53c | 206.25$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.46 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…ecdbbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 488 | 35.9%175 W · 313 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…6929backed Over | 50c | 178$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2542…7821backed Over | 64c | 125.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Under | 49c | 121.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90cb…4622backed Under | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Over | 11c | 112.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 1,377 | 16.3%224 W · 1,153 L | -109.7wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 52c | 111.43$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Over | 48c | 106.09$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 324 | 35.8%116 W · 208 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfafd…8837backed Over | 49c | 87.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…0754backed Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Under | 53c | 59.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdda…938abacked Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.26per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 389 | 47.3%184 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 52c | 46.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 367 | 57.8%212 W · 155 L | +26.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85bc…5c5ebacked Over | 54c | 44.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9600backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Under | 55c | 44.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…a72bbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf22…8c56backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Under | 52c | 38.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Under | 52c | 30.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0076…b1b6backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93cf…c08abacked Over | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Under | 52c | 24.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 300 | 55%165 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 23.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 21.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…3ddcbacked Under | 53c | 20.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under | 52c | 20.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05e…1323backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 819 | 59.3%486 W · 333 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1995backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac13…5a0cbacked Under | 53c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 36.5this page
- Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5Under 3.5 won
- Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 4.5Under 4.5 won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 38.5Under won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Fery vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Fery vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Fery vs ZverevZverev won
- Set 3 Winner: Fery vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Fery (+1.5)Zverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Fery (+2.5)Zverev won
- Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.