TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x370c…6929

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
317
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 57 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT15923.3%37 W · 122 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 159 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$255
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$806.67
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$440Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$226.67
France vs. England: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$388
Exact Score: France 0 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.49
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$527Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$493.03
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
France vs. England: 2nd Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Exact Score: France 0 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.86
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,396.1%+$279.23
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+220%+$633.6
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: England 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$429Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+185.2%+$794.66
Declan Rice: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.96
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$488
Showing 25 of 159 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT14947%70 W · 79 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 149 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+113.5%+$214.47
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$408Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+190.4%+$776.65
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$644Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+155.3%+$999.87
National Bank Open: Caty McNally vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,069Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$885.19
National Bank Open: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$572.87
National Bank Open: Terence Atmane vs Jakub Mensikbacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$197
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$386Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$386
National Bank Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$194.88
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$364Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$252.95
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.66
National Bank Open: Ann Li vs Elena Rybakinabacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.39
Hagen: Zsombor Piros vs Guy Den Oudenbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$324.77
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$361
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$302.88
National Bank Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Nuno Borgesbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
National Bank Open: Learner Tien vs Gael Monfilsbacked Learner Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$162
National Bank Open: Alycia Parks vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alycia Parks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$341Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$341
National Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$472
National Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Terence Atmanebacked Terence Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$255.4
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$373
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$764.46
National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.34
National Bank Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$287.57
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$371
National Bank Open: Clara Tauson vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+205.2%+$456.8
Showing 25 of 149 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+58.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.