TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

National Bank Open: Ann Li vs Elena Rybakina

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Elena Rybakinaof Ann Li, Elena Rybakina
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$417,421
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$434,057

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $417,421 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf9d6…730abacked Ann Li9c78,609$6,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,930.4614043.6%61 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Ann Li13c27,770$3,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,662.081,51224.1%364 W · 1,148 L-41.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Ann Li16c25,143$4,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,072.031,40442.8%601 W · 803 L-31.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Ann Li12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20017950.3%90 W · 89 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Ann Li16c7,870$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.236434.3%125 W · 239 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Ann Li15c6,799$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.8476546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Ann Li15c5,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8252,20436.9%813 W · 1,391 L+39.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Ann Li15c5,333$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,88145.7%860 W · 1,021 L+51.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Ann Li15c4,250$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.52,44451.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Ann Li15c3,482$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.311,88344.8%843 W · 1,040 L+36.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a00…9158backed Ann Li15c3,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9579040.6%321 W · 469 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4301…ac39backed Ann Li16c2,922$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48219041.6%79 W · 111 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Ann Li15c2,895$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.2578536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Ann Li17c2,500$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4251,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Ann Li17c2,301$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.2811,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Ann Li17c2,200$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.9991050.2%457 W · 453 L-20.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1adc…b884backed Ann Li8c2,153$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1684515.6%7 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Ann Li15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,51537.7%571 W · 944 L+24.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Ann Li16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32038038.2%145 W · 235 L+15.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x162d…8944backed Ann Li13c1,891$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25013134.4%45 W · 86 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Ann Li5c1,857$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.972339.1%9 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+3.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Ann Li12c1,635$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.935,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x370c…6929backed Ann Li9c1,613$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3914947%70 W · 79 L+10.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Ann Li12c1,501$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.364,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Ann Li2c1,478$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.561,2078%96 W · 1,111 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c50…e0c9backed Ann Li10c1,414$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.3842131.6%133 W · 288 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf148…0b4fbacked Ann Li22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30037345%168 W · 205 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa50f…8e6fbacked Ann Li10c1,110$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1115337.7%20 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Ann Li29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028032.5%91 W · 189 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Ann Li6c1,027$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.572,88739.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L-84.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc13f…c336backed Ann Li10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022123.1%51 W · 170 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4890…03f1backed Ann Li2c1,000$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.939916.2%16 W · 83 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Ann Li15c999.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022449.6%111 W · 113 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3992…349cbacked Ann Li9c813.49$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Ann Li15c789.8$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4756927.2%155 W · 414 L+22.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x687d…e28bbacked Ann Li16c666$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.569553.7%51 W · 44 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Ann Li15c600$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Ann Li10c593.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.881,07136.8%394 W · 677 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a89…bb33backed Ann Li17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005532.7%18 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fa…87b5backed Ann Li15c569.49$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2618929.6%56 W · 133 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Ann Li9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5048630.9%150 W · 336 L+2.4wins0.00per pick30cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc276…9a38backed Ann Li9c547.33$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.262737%10 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+56%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa66e…3430backed Ann Li27c475.67$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.432157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dbe…7833backed Ann Li15c455.47$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.0915115.9%24 W · 127 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-33.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Ann Li19c399.93$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9936838.3%141 W · 227 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Ann Li15c393.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.441,08452.6%570 W · 514 L+31.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ec…931dbacked Ann Li17c352.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6044036.8%162 W · 278 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Ann Li17c323.53$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551342.9%220 W · 293 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Ann Li12c300.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0641436.7%152 W · 262 L-1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed Ann Li7c271.43$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1971621.1%151 W · 565 L-29.3wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Ann Li10c266.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289425.5%24 W · 70 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Ann Li15c261$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1574438.7%288 W · 456 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Ann Li14c244.48$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.786,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Ann Li16c240$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.41,58042.3%668 W · 912 L+18.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Ann Li22c213.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0664365.9%424 W · 219 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Ann Li12c210.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2610432.7%34 W · 70 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Ann Li8c208.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.134,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Ann Li15c200$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47f6…b051backed Ann Li17c180$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.342643.9%187 W · 239 L-1.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Ann Li26c173.08$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,26240.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Ann Li16c172$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.522,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Ann Li11c171.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.093,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdec3…38b0backed Ann Li12c152.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.071435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Ann Li17c149.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.563537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Ann Li16c144.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1274654.8%409 W · 337 L+46.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bed…c30bbacked Ann Li15c140.62$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5910643.4%46 W · 60 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf464…5076backed Ann Li15c139.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.93333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-39.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadc6…d5e0backed Ann Li15c138.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.411154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd666…ce98backed Elena Rybakina74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.144254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Ann Li14c127.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8272047.9%345 W · 375 L-2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1de6…db4cbacked Ann Li10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Ann Li26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302,17937%807 W · 1,372 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…23ffbacked Ann Li16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167940.5%32 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d8…7f56backed Elena Rybakina74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-66.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3459…caa6backed Ann Li17c92.31$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1626748.7%130 W · 137 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe54…c928backed Ann Li23c88.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.979136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Ann Li13c86.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.142,86849.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L+23.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Ann Li17c85.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.61,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Elena Rybakina77c80$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.81,88257.4%1,081 W · 801 L+104.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Elena Rybakina78c71.24$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4455941.9%234 W · 325 L-27.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…b959backed Ann Li16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Ann Li16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016056.9%91 W · 69 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Elena Rybakina79c56.11$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7820866.3%138 W · 70 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68af…2639backed Elena Rybakina79c50.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.598859.1%52 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa99…f152backed Ann Li26c50.17$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0473558.6%431 W · 304 L-26.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Elena Rybakina74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3d3…77a0backed Elena Rybakina79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.976275.8%47 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Elena Rybakina75c34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.547166.5%313 W · 158 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Elena Rybakina75c32.89$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2232329.7%96 W · 227 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39a0…00a6backed Elena Rybakina74c26.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.836254.8%34 W · 28 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.