TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa66e…3430

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Kostyuk (+1.5)backed Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$94.89
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+60%+$179.89
Set 2 Winner: Atmane vs Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200.13
Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs Fonsecabacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Set 2 Winner: Mertens vs Osakabacked Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$508Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$134.99
Set 1 Winner: Atmane vs Mensikbacked Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$184.16
Set 1 Winner: Mertens vs Osakabacked Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.56
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+72.7%+$218.13
Set Handicap: Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Zandschulp (+1.5)backed Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Set 2 Winner: Joint vs Samsonovabacked Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$236Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$236.01
Set 2 Winner: Andreeva vs Fernandezbacked Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$175.64
National Bank Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$353Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$235.17
National Bank Open: Ann Li vs Elena Rybakinabacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.43
National Bank Open: Iva Jovic vs Alina Korneevabacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$22.62
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Brandon Nakashima vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.92
China Open: Sonay Kartal vs Linda Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
French Open: Sabalenka vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$263Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$263
French Open: Zverev vs. Djokovicbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
Will Alexander Zverev win the Australian Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$179.98
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Premier League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.34
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$14.4
Will Brighton vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$160
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Brentford vs. Everton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+222.6%+$178.06
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+100.5%+$100.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$153
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$102.87
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+108.3%+$216.67
Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$273.63
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$27
Will Manchester United win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$31
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+75.4%+$19.05
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+170.3%+$42.57
Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$46
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2025, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+30.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+163.2%+$99.53
76ers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST+85.2%+$73.77
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$40
Mavericks vs. Sunsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+112.8%+$23.61
Cavaliers vs. Nuggetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$22
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Hornets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST+170.3%+$52.26
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+150%+$67.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST-100%-$24.5
Pacers vs. Kingsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+118.4%+$60.12
Lakers vs. Kingsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+143.9%+$73.19
Thunder vs. Heatbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+88.7%+$18.62
Jazz vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST-100%-$20.5
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2024, EST+100%+$11.49
All 17 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2025, EST1752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blues vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST-100%-$79
Kraken vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Flyers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$20.27
Jets vs. Maple Leafsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+108.3%+$32.87
Rangers vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2024, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Ducks vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Kings vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+63.9%+$31.97
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Kings vs. Predatorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$11
Utah vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$30.3
Maple Leafs vs. Sabresbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+61.3%+$21.45
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST+123.1%+$29.56
Devils vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2024, EST-100%-$30
Blues vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2024, EST+47.1%+$11.76
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Capitals vs. Blackhawksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$21.08
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+44.9%+$5.8
All 17 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 3, 2025, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+84%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund vs. RB Leipzig end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.66
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+49.6%+$20.81
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$25.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Team Falconsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.51
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Heroicbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$36.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$133.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Usyk beat Fury?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+75.4%+$37.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Kentucky vs. James Madisonbacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+32.5%+$7.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.86
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.