TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Newcastle win on 2025-02-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,766

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7bbf…2760backed No1c12,137$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.687241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No47c7,117$3,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,361.125747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Yes52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88032037.2%119 W · 201 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No36c5,423$1,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,969.8679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes54c5,090$2,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,352.2932158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes54c4,672$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,171.919235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes54c4,384$2,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,032.6711548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No48c4,342$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.4514659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Yes79c3,787$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.534264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No6c3,426$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.1379639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes72c3,047$2,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.5721153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No46c2,882$1,329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.097458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes60c2,859$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.6740046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed No3c2,760$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.67350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes53c2,572$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.718433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No12c2,316$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.0338645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00034643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.781070%7 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+66.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x48d9…227fbacked No12c1,656$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.591010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-78.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed No32c1,640$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.6836954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes64c1,347$868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.121241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No45c1,320$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.5283459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No45c1,300$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59016660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Yes50c1,258$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.752259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No48c1,035$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.4590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes59c1,010$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.1914156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47012037.5%45 W · 75 L-15.8wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes52c962.61$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.0544939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8e…c986backed Yes53c941.58$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.547844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88f…987abacked No48c835.92$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.242748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed No51c791.06$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes54c746.3$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.38045%36 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5327…3b80backed Yes52c703.85$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.855740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked No10c633.14$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.34323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-94.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2440…bf2ebacked Yes73c600$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2405536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad85…78fcbacked Yes52c484.73$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Yes53c483.4$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.21154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick34cpaid+84.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes60c475.89$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.3669772.6%506 W · 191 L+83.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+26.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes44c474.5$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.084055%22 W · 18 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked No46c473.34$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.489754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6da…36cbbacked Yes51c439.31$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes53c433.96$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.964139%16 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+20.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1611342.5%48 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked Yes79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.754362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked No47c370.49$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0540135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b2e…caccbacked Yes50c370$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick49cpaid+82.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes55c364$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.820447.1%96 W · 108 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed No15c334$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.17146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No45c330$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.1381559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82c6…2e59backed Yes44c325.9$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.26771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x78ad…b32ebacked Yes53c315.27$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.18560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Yes63c310.7$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.4813336.1%48 W · 85 L-12.7wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.0324630.5%75 W · 171 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes33c302.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.6829044.8%130 W · 160 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes75c300$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.5642043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x034b…8bc0backed No49c296$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.042937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd92…9e72backed Yes52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.462931%9 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Yes54c277.78$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.786737.3%25 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4089…91a9backed Yes51c270.37$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed Yes62c255$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6814062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfe98…c7afbacked No5c252.68$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed Yes51c249.64$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.285253.8%28 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked No48c234.35$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4911527%31 W · 84 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x358a…d45fbacked Yes51c221.09$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa66e…3430backed Yes53c218.87$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.872133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x49dc…9830backed Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.084346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fba…bdbdbacked Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.683275%24 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed No48c177.99$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.969756.7%55 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e2…dae0backed Yes55c174.16$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.37560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f3b…7064backed Yes55c162.73$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+39.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f90…1b35backed No49c148$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.521145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1659…a47bbacked No46c138.02$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1850…e582backed Yes55c134.35$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.465100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c5a…963dbacked No48c134.02$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes48c132.5$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5637652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fb7…5316backed Yes51c132.27$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.811040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+29.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No46c132$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1665557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x63d3…046fbacked Yes55c131.65$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc55a…c4afbacked No48c125.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d44…b15ebacked No49c122$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff2…6714backed No48c119.9$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86a3…8ea1backed No48c117.88$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4770…8fa6backed No46c115.91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.32837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea0…27f4backed Yes54c114.81$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.811127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d3e…f454backed No48c112.88$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb418…e588backed No48c111.92$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.72825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-58.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb6c…e44fbacked No45c111$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.957159.2%42 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed No52c106.88$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.584663%29 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes53c104.25$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4914643.2%63 W · 83 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed No48c103.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.681154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked No50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x286e…adb7backed No68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4818232.4%59 W · 123 L-15.9wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5091…23e9backed Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914754.4%80 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No49c99.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9929751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70d3…a474backed Yes55c98.51$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2453…28e2backed Yes51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0425637.9%97 W · 159 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.