TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,888
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,499

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,888 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7bbf…2760backed Yes3c29,857$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$983.157241.7%30 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked No75c6,089$4,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.162259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes25c6,027$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5009235.9%33 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes25c4,050$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes42c3,968$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.111241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes3c3,890$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2379639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No64c3,099$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,119.0938645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed No58c2,971$1,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.477458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes43c2,462$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.6410445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No69c2,418$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.8279650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No75c2,368$1,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.4340046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes24c2,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked No76c1,645$1,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.045444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3cf…a5d4backed Yes42c1,377$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.331070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad25…7678backed Yes23c1,231$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.144124.4%10 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes14c1,208$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17132737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes1c1,172$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7218433.7%62 W · 122 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf240…03c2backed Yes25c1,001$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504136.6%15 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25014659.6%87 W · 59 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x45d0…de55backed No77c1,000$768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No75c942.32$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5824566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes43c927.27$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No76c918.99$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.5683459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad85…78fcbacked Yes25c910.5$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48d9…227fbacked Yes25c908.72$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.181010%1 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick28cpaid-78.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Yes9c834.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.78323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-94.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes32c800$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25228070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004148.8%20 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No76c649.34$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.6590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x686e…af8cbacked Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508825%22 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid+0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08fa…a865backed Yes24c586.79$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.831346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13016660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No75c483.04$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7616851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed No77c476.08$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.55345.3%24 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes26c451.96$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.517534.7%26 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+26%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Yes31c437.18$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.5422932.3%74 W · 155 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd452…03e0backed No64c430.77$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.77944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed Yes24c416.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.932718.5%5 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006741.8%28 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dbe…3ac2backed Yes24c377.14$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.51475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7221…df5ebacked Yes26c364.08$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.663043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-42.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes24c354.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.8640135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7d7…bcb6backed No61c325.07$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.782100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x45af…eb66backed No64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12621153.1%112 W · 99 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7211761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6142043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Yes24c299.47$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.873839.5%15 W · 23 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb9…1b90backed No76c289.47$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-62.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6d6…d6e2backed Yes23c271.02$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…269bbacked No75c266.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.674362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x461e…3f91backed Yes23c262.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Yes23c259.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.515726.8%42 W · 115 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes12c255.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319949.5%49 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…c3f5backed Yes24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607350.7%37 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No75c229$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5681559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6ed…2a77backed Yes25c216.2$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes29c203.69$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6012053.3%64 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x286e…adb7backed Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-46.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes25c199.99$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4914732%47 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ea0…27f4backed Yes25c176$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2c…7845backed No77c168.83$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406327%17 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes22c162.98$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8617837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d86…f0bbbacked No76c162.03$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick64cpaid+21.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd22c…c656backed Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-28%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Yes26c158.27$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.893228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-25.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf763…b280backed No77c145.18$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2936…07f5backed Yes8c143.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110932.1%35 W · 74 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a13…726cbacked No77c135.06$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.062100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes25c132.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0215636.5%57 W · 99 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8df…cd74backed No77c131.17$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8729653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x79ad…a9f1backed No76c115.88$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.251154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2fa…4d49backed Yes24c108.33$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266350.8%32 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-20.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22a6…38c0backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33dc…375abacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257934.2%27 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb978…a2a0backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5091…23e9backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes43c95.6$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.112718.5%5 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-55.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x057f…e694backed Yes26c93.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.26666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0102…e4d2backed No77c85$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.552676.9%20 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick67cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa79c…36c6backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204045%18 W · 22 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+36.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa303…6933backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Yes24c83.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No42c80.94$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9519743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xe31b…07e0backed Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206045%27 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc418…e4f2backed No77c79.81$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Yes24c77.68$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.644744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes23c70$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.16628.8%19 W · 47 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb3d…fb97backed No76c67.22$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.132100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+89.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f51…af3bbacked Yes16c66.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3446…8f43backed No77c63.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.