TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f22…a26e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
137
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst UFC at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6045%27 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$71.77
Will Liverpool win on 2025-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$50.2
Will Cole Palmer be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+118.9%+$59.47
Chelsea wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brighton win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Wolves win on 2025-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Newcastle win on 2025-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Brighton win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST+51.4%+$10.29
Will Manchester City win on 2025-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Fulham win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+127.3%+$50.91
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT3542.9%15 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-09-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$38.43
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$111.58
Champions League Quarterfinals: Bayern vs. Inter Milanbacked Bayern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Aston Villa vs. Club Brugge end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Bayer Leverkusen win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bayern Munich win on 2025-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
Will Barcelona win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$35.47
Will Bayern Munich vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+177.8%+$71.11
Will Feyenoord vs. Inter end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+104.1%+$20.82
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+144%+$57.62
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$425
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$469.57
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+304%+$304.04
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+175.9%+$351.72
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$184.62
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spain vs. Austria: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Croatia vs. Ghana: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+525%+$131.25
England vs. Ghana: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+744.3%+$186.07
Spread: IR Iran (-1.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Germany beat Italybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$71.11
Will Spain beat Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Portugal beat Denmark?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+159%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Uruguay beat Brazil?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2024, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 13, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2024, EST-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.